This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.
Locks
(22) Virginia (12-0) (0-0) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 2
Last 10 – (10-0)
Good Wins – * (12) Wisconsin, * (29) VCU, (60) Maryland, (78) Dayton, (95) Marshall
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Virginia enters ACC play without a loss. We’ve been waiting for their game with Florida State, and it’s coming Saturday. That should be a great matchup.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – Florida State
(3) Duke (11-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 1
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (14) Auburn, * (27) Indiana, * (42) Texas Tech, * (38) Kentucky, (63) Yale
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Duke has Clemson at home this week. It will be a decent test, but not one Duke really has to be concerned about losing.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – Clemson
(8) Florida State (12-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 3
NCAA.Net ranking : 24
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (28) Purdue, * (16) LSU, (75) St. Louis, (69) Florida
Bad Losses – None
Notes – If FSU were to win at Virginia, the Noles could push for a 1 or 2 seed.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – @Virginia
(50) Virginia Tech (12-1) (1-0) Projected Seed 3
NCAA.Net ranking : 16
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (28) Purdue, * (19) Washington
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Virginia Tech can already starting looking ahead to their monster matchup with Virginia on the 15th. Boston College shouldn’t provide much resistance this week.
1/5 – Boston College
(30) North Carolina (9-3) (0-0) Projected Seed 5
NCAA.Net ranking : 17
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – (67) Davidson, (80) Wofford, * (18) Gonzaga, (87) UCLA
Bad Losses – None
Notes – UNC at Pittsburgh is a game that the Heels can’t overlook.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/2 – Harvard
1/5 – @Pittsburgh
(108) NC State (12-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 6
NCAA.Net ranking : 8
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – (61) Penn State, * (14) Auburn
Bad Losses – None
Notes – NC State has a tricky game at Miami this week. They can’t look ahead to their game with UNC the following week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/3 – @Miami
(35) Louisville (9-4) (0-0) Projected Seed 9
NCAA.Net ranking : 26
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – * (11) Michigan State, (55) Vermont, * (47) Lipscomb, * (23) Seton Hall
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Louisville missed a big chance at an OOC win with a home loss to Kentucky. They need to get back on track at home against Miami.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/6 – Miami
Bubble But In
(70) Clemson (10-3) (0-0) Projected Seed 12
NCAA.Net ranking : 46
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – (90) The Citadel, * (46) Radford, * (47) Libscomb
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Clemson plays at Duke this week. If they could somehow steal it, they would come off the bubble
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – @Duke
Bubble But Out
(126) Notre Dame (10-4)(0-1)
NCAA.Net ranking : 65
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – * (28) Purdue
Bad Losses – None
Notes – I think Notre Dame is going to be on and off the bubble all year. They need more quality wins. Syracuse at home is already a must win.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – Syracuse
(82) Syracuse (9-4) (0-0)
NCAA.Net ranking : 59
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – * (24) Ohio State
Bad Losses – (114) Oregon, * (158) Connecticut, (124) Old Dominion
Notes – There’s a good win over Ohio State, but just too many bad losses to put Syracuse in the field this week. The winner of Syracuse and Notre Dame gets in next week’s projections.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – @Notre Dame
(132) Pittsburgh (10-3) (0-0)
NCAA.Net ranking : 70
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – (74) Saint Louis
Bad Losses – (112) West Virginia, * (294) Niagara
Notes – If Pittsburgh could beat UNC at home, they could get into next week’s field. I’m serious.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – UNC
(144) Boston College (9-3) (0-0)
NCAA.Net ranking : 144
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – * (20) Minnesota
Bad Losses – * (172) IUPUI, * (175) Hartford
Notes – That was a devastating loss Boston College took to Hartford. You simply can’t take a loss like that when your NCAA resume is already thin. A game at Virginia Tech will not be easy this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/5 – @Virginia Tech
(113) Miami (8-4) (0-0)
NCAA.Net ranking : 94
Last 10 – (6-4 )
Good Wins – (65) Fresno State
Bad Losses – (129) Rutgers, (125) Penn
Notes – Miami has early must win game with NC State at home this week. Anything less than a split would really put Miami in a hole.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/3 – NC State
1/6 – @Louisville
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(148) Georgia Tech (7-5) (0-0)
NCAA.Net ranking : 115
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – None
Bad Losses – (127) Georgia, (146) Gardner-Webb, (123) Northwestern
Notes – We’ve been waiting for the pillow fight between Wake Forest and Georgia Tech all season. Loser has the inside track to finishing last in the ACC this year.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/2 – USC Upstate
1/5 – Wake Forest
(220) Wake Forest (6-5) (0-0)
NCAA.Net ranking : 189
Last 10 – (5-3)
Good Wins – (67) Davidson
Bad Losses – (143) Houston Baptist, * (290) Richmond, (146) Gardner-Webb
Notes – Wake Forest and Georgia Tech have something in common – They both lost to Gardner-Webb at home.
1/2 – Cornell
1/5 – @Georgia Tech
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