{"id":24151,"date":"2019-02-10T17:40:58","date_gmt":"2019-02-10T22:40:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/allsportsdiscussion.com\/?p=24151"},"modified":"2019-02-10T19:57:30","modified_gmt":"2019-02-11T00:57:30","slug":"ncaa-tournament-projections-for-each-acc-team-february-10-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allsportsdiscussion.com\/2019\/02\/10\/ncaa-tournament-projections-for-each-acc-team-february-10-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"NCAA Tournament Projections for each ACC team \u2013 February 10, 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

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This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they\u2019d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.<\/p>\n

In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I\u2019m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA\u2019s if selections were made the day of the post.<\/p>\n

Teams get a \u201c*\u201d for top 50 good wins or \u201c*\u201d greater than 150 losses.<\/p>\n

My RPI rankings come from,\u00a0CBSSportsline.com<\/a>\u00a0and I will also list the\u00a0NCAA.net Rankings<\/a>\u00a0which is the new ranking system used by the committee.<\/p>\n

Locks<\/strong><\/p>\n

(2) Duke (21-2)\u00a0(9-1)\u00a0Projected Seed 1<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 2<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (9-1)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013 *(34) Auburn, (63) Indiana, *(23) Texas Tech, *(7) Kentucky, *(36) Yale, *(45) Clemson, *(18) Florida State, *(6) Virginia, (73) Princeton,\u00a0*(6) Virginia, *(40) St. Johns<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 None<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 If Duke plays like they did against Virginia in a 81-71 win, they are winning the national championship. They have a gear no other college basketball team can match. Can they consistently play like that? A game at Louisville should be interesting.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/12 \u2013 @Louisville<\/p>\n

2\/16 \u2013 NC State<\/p>\n

(6) Virginia (20-2) (8-2)\u00a0Projected Seed 1\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 3<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (8-2)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013 *(20) Wisconsin, *(28) VCU, *(24) Maryland, (85) Dayton, (66) Marshall, *(18) Florida State, *(45) Clemson, *(29) Virginia Tech, (78) South Carolina<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 None<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Virginia holds on to a 1 seed despite the loss to Duke. They didn’t really play that bad either. Duke just played that well. If the Hoos lose to UNC, they may drop to a 2 seed.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/11 \u2013 @UNC<\/p>\n

2\/16 – Notre Dame<\/p>\n

(8) North Carolina (19-4) (9-1) Projected Seed 2<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 9<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (9-1)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013 *(44) Davidson, *(38) Wofford, * (5) Gonzaga, *(29) Virginia Tech, *(19) Louisville<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 None<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 If UNC wants to make a run at a 1 seed, it needs to start with a sweep this week. Virginia is a big showdown.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/11 – Virginia<\/p>\n

2\/16 – @Wake Forest<\/p>\n

(18) Florida State (18-5) (6-4) Projected Seed 5<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 25<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (6-4)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013 *(10) Purdue, *(11)\u00a0 LSU, (70) Florida, *(45) Clemson, *(19) Louisville, *(39) Syracuse<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (130) Boston College, (145) Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Florida State has been all over the map in their play this year. Right now they are on a roll with this past week getting wins and at Syracuse and home win against Louisville. They have a good chance at a sweep this week, that would move them to a top 4 seed.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/13 – Wake Forest<\/p>\n

2\/16 – @Georgia Tech<\/p>\n

\u00a0(19) Louisville (17-7) (8-3)\u00a0Projected Seed 5<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 15<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (7-3)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 *(15) Michigan State, (61) Vermont, (53) Lipscomb, (51) Seton Hall, *(8) UNC, (83) Kent State, *(29) Virginia Tech<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (145) Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013Splitting at Virginia Tech and Florida State won’t hurt Louisville’s seeding. To move to a top 4 seed though, they’ll need a sweep of Duke and Clemson this week.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/12 – Duke<\/p>\n

2\/16 – Clemson<\/p>\n

(29) Virginia Tech (18-5) (7-4) Projected Seed 6<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 14<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (6-4)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 * (10) Purdue,\u00a0 *(21) Washington, (81) Northeastern, *(39) Syracuse<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (124) Penn State<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Virginia Tech just needs to hang on during Justin Robinson’s injury. Last week they lost to Louisville and Clemson. This week things ease up with Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh. I expect no worse than a split.<\/p>\n

2\/13 – Georgia Tech<\/p>\n

2\/16 \u2013 @Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

(39) Syracuse (17-7) (8-3)\u00a0Projected Seed 8<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 48<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (7-3)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 *(49) Ohio State, *(45) Clemson,\u00a0*(2) Duke, (91) Georgetown, (81) Northeastern<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013\u00a0 (133) Connecticut, (135) Georgia Tech<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Can Syracuse steal a win at NC State and get off the 8\/9 line?<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/13 \u2013 @NC State<\/p>\n

Bubble But In<\/strong><\/p>\n

(45) Clemson (15-8) (5-5)\u00a0Projected Seed 11<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 37<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (5-5)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 (53) Libscomb, (78) South Carolina *(29) Virginia Tech, (76) Radford<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (112) NC State, (110) Nebraska<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Clemson finds itself back on the bubble after 4 straight wins. A split this week is a must or they fall right back out of the field next week.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/13 – @Miami<\/p>\n

2\/16 – @Louisville<\/p>\n

(112) NC State (17-7) (5-6) Projected Seed 12<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 35<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (4-6)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 *(34) Auburn, *(45) Clemson<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (178) Wake Forest<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 NC State is going to be an interesting case-study of the Net rankings – 35 in those rankings, 112 in the RPI. I have them just in the field. They must split this week with Syracuse and Duke.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/13 – Syracuse<\/p>\n

2\/16 – @Duke<\/p>\n

Bubble But Out\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

NONE<\/p>\n

Only if they win the ACC Tournament<\/strong><\/p>\n

(145) Pittsburgh (12-12) (2-9)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 92<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (2-8)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 *(19) Louisville, *(18) Florida State<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 *(298) Niagara, (112) NC State, (119) West Virginia, (112) NC State, *(178) Wake Forest<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Pittsburgh lost 2 games this past week to Wake Forest and NC State by a total of 5 points. They are more competitive, but still learning how to close out games.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/12 – @Boston College<\/p>\n

2\/16 – Virginia Tech<\/p>\n

(132) Notre Dame (13-11)(3-8)\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 102<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (3-7)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 *(10) Purdue<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (112) NC State, (135) Georgia Tech, (101) UCLA, (121) Miami<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 It’s so strange to see Notre Dame near the bottom of the ACC standings. They did beat Georgia Tech Sunday, but playing at Virginia is a near certain loss.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/16 – @Virginia<\/p>\n

(130) Boston College (11-11) (2-8)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 136<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (2-8)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013 *(47) Minnesota, *(18) Florida State<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 *(207) IUPUI, *(176) Hartford, (132) Notre Dame, (132) Notre Dame<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 It’s time to start talking about replacements for head coach Jim Christian. He’s been at BC for 4 full years, and hasn’t ever made the NCAA tournament – make it 5 after this season.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/12 – Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

2\/17 – Miami<\/p>\n

(135) Georgia Tech (11-13) (3-8)
\n<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 109<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (2-8)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 (62) Arkansas, *(39) Syracuse<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 *(187) Gardner-Webb, (141) Georgia, (125) Northwestern, (132) Notre Dame<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Not one person thinks the Georgia Tech program is in better shape than when Josh Pastner arrived three years ago.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/10 \u2013 @Notre Dame<\/p>\n

2\/13 – @Virginia Tech<\/p>\n

2\/16 – Florida State<\/p>\n

(121) Miami (10-13) (2-9)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 88<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (2-8)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 (99) Fresno State<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 (142) Rutgers, (112) NC State<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Miami nearly knocked off UNC this past week. Close losses have been the story of Miami’s season.<\/p>\n

This Week\u2019s Upcoming Games.<\/p>\n

2\/13 – Clemson<\/p>\n

2\/17 – @Boston College<\/p>\n

(178) Wake Forest (9-13) (2-8)\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA.Net ranking : 196<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last 10 \u2013 (2-8)<\/p>\n

Good Wins \u2013\u00a0 *(44) Davidson<\/p>\n

Bad Losses \u2013 *(297) Houston Baptist, *(259) Richmond, (187) Gardner-Webb, (169) St. Joseph\u2019s, (135) Georgia Tech, (121) Miami, (130) Boston College<\/p>\n

Notes \u2013 Wake Forest went 1-0 this week with a win over Pittsburgh! The losing resumes this week.<\/p>\n

2\/13 – @Florida State<\/p>\n

2\/16 – UNC<\/p>\n

Make sure you follow the All Sports Discussion Twitter account at\u00a0@AllSportsDACC<\/a>\u00a0and please like our\u00a0Facebook Page<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n
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