Alabama. Notre Dame. Clemson. Ohio State. As of now, we have four teams that are unquestionably ahead of the pack in the College Football Playoff race. And, if we’re being fully honest, none of the other teams “in the hunt” are particularly close right now. Oh, this group of four has questions about it, certainly. …
Tag Archive: College Football Playoff
Dec
01
2020
What the CFP Selection Committee Taught Us: Ignoring Media Pressure
In its history, the CFP selection committee has actually been someone consistent in being immune to criticism from media outlets. We haven’t really seen big shifts in rankings based on criticism from college football media. The closest we’ve ever seen to that was in the very first year of the rankings, when the committee flipped …
Dec
01
2020
Week 12 CFP Eliminator: Few Real Contenders
As I discussed in CFP Implications this week, we can start to pin down some scenarios. All of those scenarios right now assume that Alabama and Ohio State win out, and that Notre Dame wins out until at least the ACC Championship Game. If Clemson and Florida each win out, we could be looking at …
Nov
30
2020
Week 12 CFP Implications: Strength at the Top Leaves Few Scenarios
Most years the college football world runs gets ahead of itself anointing the top teams too early in the season. Chaos always comes, and the elites always trip up eventually. Top teams do make their way through the seasons, but we very often have a different set of top teams in Week 12 than we …
Nov
24
2020
What the CFP Selection Committee Taught Us: Strength of Schedule Still Matters
We had a lot of questions coming into the first CFP selection committee rankings this year. After all, 2020 is one of the strangest seasons in modern college football, because of the lack of an organized schedule and teams starting the year at different points. How would the committee judge different number of games …
Nov
23
2020
Week 11 CFP Eliminator: Few Eliminations, but Several Teams not Really in Contention
One of the hallmarks of my Eliminator series is that I never want to un-eliminate a team. Some years, that leads to waiting a few extra weeks to eliminate questionable teams. This year, though, it’s causing a serious problem. I have 24 teams still alive, and barring some surprising upsets, there’s no real path to …
Nov
23
2020
Week 11 CFP Implications: Ohio State Survives Showdown
In a week where several Playoff contenders once again missed games, the Big Ten took center stage. The undefeated teams in each division faced off, with Northwestern stopping Wisconsin and Ohio State surviving Indiana’s comeback attempt. What does this mean for the Big Ten in terms of Playoff bids? Well, two bids doesn’t look to …
Nov
19
2020
Week 10 CFP Eliminator: Uncertainty about Canceled Games
This week has presented me with some interesting dilemmas, some that are unique even for this year. Let’s look at Maryland as a case study. The Maryland Terrapins are 2-1 with a blowout loss to Northwestern. Their only potential path to the Playoff remaining is winning the Big Ten Championship Game, with a win over …
Nov
18
2020
Week 10 CFP Implications: Not Enough Games
Not much changed this week in the College Football Playoff race because not too many games were played, especially among the top contenders. Alabama, Ohio State, and Texas A&M all had games canceled due to COVID-19. (It seems noteworthy, at least, that all three were canceled because of outbreaks among their opponents, not on their …
Nov
10
2020
What are the ACC’s chances of getting two playoff teams? | answered by @mattzemek
#StayHealthy and practice social distancing. The ACC Question of the week is back with our esteemed friend and college football writer @MattZemek, Editor at @TrojansWire . Do yourself a favor and give him a follow on twitter. Every game in a precarious college football season carries with it a certain degree of risk. The Clemson Tigers have lost regular-season games in …
Nov
10
2020
Week 9 CFP Eliminator: The Pac 12 Conundrum
2020 has been a weird year for everyone, for lots of reasons. And it has certainly thrown the Eliminator for a loop. I’m sure, when Selection Sunday comes, it will provide a unique and odd set of circumstances for the selection committee also. This week, I want to discuss what to do with the Pac …
Nov
09
2020
Week 9 CFP Implications: Clear Path to Two ACC Bids
Since early in the year, it’s been obvious that there would likely be one of the four College Football Playoff bids up for grabs. The SEC is almost certainly getting a bid. The ACC is almost certainly getting a bid–we had assumed that one would be Clemson, but now Notre Dame has the inside track. …
Nov
02
2020
Week 8 CFP Eliminator: LSU Defending Champions No More
Only once before in the history of the College Football Playoff have I ever eliminated the defending National Champions. In 2015, I eliminated the Ohio State Buckeyes after the final weekend of the season. Ohio State didn’t quite have the resume, and there were four clearly obvious Playoff picks that year. In every other season …
Nov
02
2020
Week 8 CFP Implications: It’s Time to Discuss Cincinnati. Seriously.
From early in the season, when the Big 12 was clearly struggling, I’ve been mentioning the AAC somewhere in a group of teams in line for a Playoff bid. As the season has progressed, it became obvious that Cincinnati was the only AAC team in the picture. Still, with tons of teams playing and all …
Oct
28
2020
Week 7 CFP Eliminator: Big 12 Falling
This week saw a few more eliminations than I expected, particularly because the Big 12 is rapidly trending towards no teams remaining. Oklahoma State is still undefeated, and the Cowboys will make the Playoff if that keeps up, but outside of Stillwater the Big 12’s hopes are in trouble. The conference’s only other one-loss team …
Oct
28
2020
Week 7 CFP Implications: Off, Wisconsin
I was ready to write this post on Sunday, looking at the action from the SEC and Big 12. And, of course, the return of the Big Ten. Ohio State looked like a potential Playoff contender. Wisconsin, Michigan, and maybe Northwestern looked like potential contenders. And Cincinnati and BYU both made pushes for potential for …