This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.
Locks
(2) Duke (25-4) (13-3) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 3
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – *(37) Auburn, (80) Indiana, *(20) Texas Tech, *(7) Kentucky, *(38) Yale, (65) Clemson, *(15) Florida State, *(3) Virginia, (87) Princeton, *(3) Virginia, *(35) St. Johns, *(27) Louisville, (95) NC State, *(40) Syracuse
Bad Losses – None
Notes – There’s really no reason to drop Duke off the 1 line yet, but they need Zion back. If Duke loses at UNC, though a 1 seed is not guaranteed.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/5 – Wake Forest
3/9 – @UNC
(3) Virginia (26-2) (14-2) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 2
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – *(25) Wisconsin, *(23) VCU, *(19) Maryland, (70) Dayton, (66) Marshall, *(15) Florida State, (65) Clemson, *(29) Virginia Tech, (74) South Carolina, *(6) UNC, (95) NC State, (29) Virginia Tech, (29) Virginia Tech
Bad Losses – None
Notes – If Virginia sweeps this week, they are a lock for 1 seed. Actually as long as they aren’t swept, they’ll get a 1 seed. It won’t matter what happens in the ACC tournament.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/4 – @Syracuse
3/9 – Louisville
(6) North Carolina (24-5) (14-2) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 7
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – (51) Davidson, *(32) Wofford, * (5) Gonzaga, *(29) Virginia Tech, *(27) Louisville, (80) Harvard, (95) NC State, (95) NC State, *(2) Duke, (65) Clemson, *(40) Syracuse
Bad Losses – None
Notes – UNC got a scare at Clemson, but they’ll enter next week squarely in the race for a #1 seed in the NCAA tournament. If they sweep this week, I think they’ll lock up that 1 seed too.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/5 – @Boston College
3/9 – Duke
(15) Florida State (23-6) (11-5) Projected Seed 3
NCAA.Net ranking : 20
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – *(11) Purdue, *(13) LSU, (52) Florida, (65) Clemson, *(27) Louisville, *(40) Syracuse, (65) Clemson, (65) Clemson, (95) NC State
Bad Losses – (130) Boston College, (168) Pittsburgh
Notes – Florida State can lock up a double bye in the ACC tournament and top 4 NCAA seed with a sweep. The game with Virginia Tech will decide the 4th double bye ACC team.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/5 – Virginia Tech
3/9 – @Wake Forest
(29) Virginia Tech (22-6) (11-5) Projected Seed 4
NCAA.Net ranking : 12
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(11) Purdue, *(18) Washington, (77) Northeastern, *(40) Syracuse, (95) NC State, *(2) Duke
Bad Losses – (102) Penn State
Notes – Minus Justin Robinson, Virginia Tech knocked off Duke who didn’t have Zion Williamson. So with injuries a wash. It was incredible win for the Hokies.
3/5 – @FSU
3/8 – Miami
(27) Louisville (19-11) (10-7) Projected Seed 8
NCAA.Net ranking : 25
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – *(12) Michigan State, (66) Vermont, (75) Lipscomb, (53) Seton Hall, *(6) UNC, (82) Kent State, *(29) Virginia Tech, (65) Clemson, (95) NC State
Bad Losses – *(168) Pittsburgh, (100) Indiana
Notes – Louisville was reeling a bit, but the win over Notre Dame gets them in the dance.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/9 – @Virginia
(40) Syracuse (19-10) (10-6) Projected Seed 8
NCAA.Net ranking : 39
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (54) Ohio State, (65) Clemson, *(2) Duke, (83) Georgetown, (77) Northeastern, *(27) Louisville
Bad Losses – (135) Connecticut, *(151) Georgia Tech
Notes – I think Syracuse is a lock for the NCAA tournament, but they need a sweep to move off the 8/9 line. It will be a very tough week, and if they lose both they could be looking at double digit seed next week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/4 – Virginia
3/9 – @Clemson
(95) NC State (20-9) (8-8) Projected Seed 10
NCAA.Net ranking : 31
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – *(37) Auburn, (65) Clemson, *(39) Syracuse
Bad Losses – (154) Wake Forest
Notes – NC State needs one more win to feel NCAA safe. With Georgia Tech and Boston College this week, they’ll get at least 1 win. Two would end all bubble discussion.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/6 – Georgia Tech
3/9 – @Boston College
Bubble But In
NONE
Bubble But Out
(65) Clemson (17-12) (7-9)
NCAA.Net ranking : 40
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (75) Libscomb, (74) South Carolina *(29) Virginia Tech, (94) Radford
Bad Losses – (111) Nebraska, (119) Miami
Notes – Clemson isn’t dead yet, but a 2 point loss to UNC was a big missed opportunity. A sweep this week is absolute must. I think that will get them in the Big Dance too.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/6 – @Notre Dame
3/9 – Syracuse
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(168) Pittsburgh (12-17) (2-14)
NCAA.Net ranking : 124
Last 10 – (0-10)
Good Wins – *(27) Louisville, *(15) Florida State
Bad Losses – *(309) Niagara, (124) West Virginia, *(154) Wake Forest, (130) Boston College, *(151) Georgia Tech
Notes – Well at least Pittsburgh can say they cost FSU and Louisville a better NCAA seed this year.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/5 – @Miami
3/9 – Notre Dame
(143) Notre Dame (13-16)(3-13)
NCAA.Net ranking : 103
Last 10 – (2-8)
Good Wins – *(11) Purdue
Bad Losses – *(151) Georgia Tech, (114) UCLA, (119) Miami, *(154) Wake Forest
Notes – Notre Dame can officially end any realistic Clemson’s NCAA chances. There are just playing for pride in a forgettable season.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/6 – Clemson
3/9 – @Pittsburgh
(130) Boston College (14-14) (5-11)
NCAA.Net ranking : 114
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – *(41) Minnesota, *(15) Florida State, (27) Louisville
Bad Losses – *(233) IUPUI, *(178) Hartford, (143) Notre Dame, (143) Notre Dame, (151) Georgia Tech
Notes – Boston College has better talent their record. Don’t be surprised if they still have another ACC in them.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/5 – UNC
3/9 – NC State
(151) Georgia Tech (13-17) (5-12)
NCAA.Net ranking : 130
Last 10 – (2-8)
Good Wins – (85) Arkansas, *(39) Syracuse
Bad Losses – *(169) Gardner-Webb, *(160) Georgia, *(152) Northwestern, (143) Notre Dame
Notes – Michael Devoe is turning into a player with a bright future. That’s one of the few highlights of this season at Georgia Tech.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/6 – @NC State
(119) Miami (12-16) (4-12)
NCAA.Net ranking : 93
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – (65) Clemson, (90) Lehigh
Bad Losses – (136) Rutgers, (130) Boston College
Notes – I wonder if Jim Larranga is thinking about retiring after this miserable season.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
3/5 – Pittsburgh
3/8 – @Virginia Tech
(154) Wake Forest (11-17) (4-12)
NCAA.Net ranking : 199
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – (51) Davidson, (95) NC State
Bad Losses – *(282) Houston Baptist, *(249) Richmond, *(169) Gardner-Webb, *(186) St. Joseph’s, *(151) Georgia Tech, (119) Miami, (130) Boston College
Notes – Wake Forest has a new AD, who will probably looking into getting a new basketball coach.
This week’s upcoming games
3/5 – @Duke
3/9 – Florida State
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