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Mar
05
2022

Each ACC team’s path to the NCAA Tournament – 3/5/2022 Edition

Selection Sunday is just around the corner. Each week we check our weekly bracket projections, but looking down the road what is each ACC team’s path to NCAA with besides the obvious win the ACC Tournament?

NET Rankings are from – https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2022/net

NC State (11-20, 4-16) NET Ranking 143

ACCT Seed – 15

NC State finished last in the ACC. Why is Kevin Keatts back again?

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Georgia Tech (12-19, 5-15) NET Ranking 161

ACCT Seed – 14

Georgia Tech just barely avoids going from ACC Champion to last place.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Boston College (11-19, 6-14) NET Ranking 164

ACCT Seed – 13

BC enters the ACCT with just two wins since January.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Pittsburgh (11-20, 6-14) NET Ranking 190

ACCT Seed – 12

Did this team really win at UNC?

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Louisville (12-18, 6-14) NET Ranking 133

ACCT Seed – 11

Louisville may actually be playing the worst basketball in the ACC right now.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Clemson (16-15, 8-12) NET Ranking 86

ACCT Seed – 10

Clemson suddenly looks like the most dangerous double-digit seed in the ACCT.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Syracuse (15-16, 9-11) NET Ranking 93

ACCT Seed – 9

Syracuse played 4 NCAA caliber teams to finish the season. They lost them all.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Florida State (17-13, 10-10) NET Ranking 101

ACCT Seed – 8

So if FSU wins 3 games and makes the ACCT finals they’d be 20-14. They better just win the ACCT to make the NCAAs.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 1%

Virginia Tech (19-12, 11-9) NET Ranking 32

ACCT Seed – 7

There’s some debate about what Virginia Tech needs to do to make the NCAA Tournament. I say they need 2 ACCT wins to feel safe. Some say they need a run to the finals. They better not go winless that is for sure.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 35%

Virginia (18-12, 12-8) NET Ranking 79

ACCT Seed – 6

Virginia’s NET Ranking is a killer. They need a run to the final at the very least. That may still not be enough.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 10%

Wake Forest (23-8, 13-7) NET Ranking 35

ACCT Seed – 5

I think Wake Forest is a NCAA lock, but one ACCT win would seal it.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 95%

Miami (22-9, 14-6) NET Ranking 58

ACCT Seed – 4

Miami’s NET ranking could make things dicey. I think they also are a lock, but then that 58 pops on the screen.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 80%

North Carolina (23-8, 15-5) NET Ranking 38

ACCT Seed – 3

The stunning win at Duke locks up UNC’s NCAA bid.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 100%

Notre Dame (22-9, 15-5) NET Ranking 53

ACCT Seed – 2

Notre Dame is in. Yeah, I’m pretty sure about that. What if they go winless in the ACC Tournament? What about that NET Ranking?

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 95%

Duke  (26-5, 16-4) NET Ranking 6

ACCT Seed – 1

Well, there goes a #1 seed after the miserably flat second half against UNC. Duke has to win the ACCT and just hope.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 100%

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