Selection Sunday is just around the corner. Each week we check our weekly bracket projections, but looking down the road what is each ACC team’s path to NCAA with besides the obvious win the ACC Tournament?
NET Rankings are from – https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2022/net
Pittsburgh (11-18, 6-12) NET Ranking 181
Games Remaining – 2
Another season without the NCAA Tournament for Jeff Capel.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
NC State (11-18, 4-14) NET Ranking 139
Games Remaining – 2
What a disaster of a season at NC State.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
Georgia Tech (11-18, 4-14) NET Ranking 163
Games Remaining – 2
Georgia Tech hasn’t won a NCAA game in over 10 years, and they won’t win one this year either.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
Boston College (11-17, 6-12) NET Ranking 155
Games Remaining – 2
Nope not this year Boston College.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
Clemson (14-15, 6-12) NET Ranking 86
Games Remaining – 2
If Clemson had only played like the last week, the previous 2 months.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
Louisville (12-16, 6-12) NET Ranking 127
Games Remaining – 2
Louisville not even being anywhere near the bubble should never happen.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
Syracuse (15-14, 9-9) NET Ranking 92
Games Remaining – 2
Even if Syracuse finishes the year 20-15, they won’t make the dance after going 0-2 this past week.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%
Florida State (15-13, 8-10) NET Ranking 102
Games Remaining – 2
That was a great win at Virginia, but even a 20-14 finish won’t be enough to get FSU in. They might get a bubble mention, as they do have a Q1 wins, and probably would get a third with a deep ACCT run.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 1%
Virginia (17-12, 11-8) NET Ranking 82
Games Remaining – 1
That was a devastating final second loss to Florida State. Virginia now must win at Louisville, and probably at least 2 and maybe 3 ACCT wins to make the NCAA Field.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 20%
Virginia Tech (18-11, 10-8) NET Ranking 41
Games Remaining – 2
Virginia Tech is charging hard. I would like them to get to the 20 win mark. That means 2 more wins, and I like their chances to make the big dance.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 50%
Miami (20-9, 12-6) NET Ranking 60
Games Remaining – 2
Despite the loss to Virginia Tech, I think Miami is going to be fine. Just don’t get swept by Boston College, Syracuse, and an opening round ACCT game.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 75%
North Carolina (21-8, 13-5) NET Ranking 40
Games Remaining – 2
If you assume, UNC probably doesn’t win at Duke they need to take care of Syracuse at home and they should be dancing. I would say they are 1 win away from an at-large bid.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 85%
Wake Forest (22-8, 12-7) NET Ranking 42
Games Remaining – 1
That’s was hiccup at Clemson, but Wake Forest just needs to win 1 more game to lock up a NCAA bid. If they beat reeling NC State at home, they should be fine.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 90%
Notre Dame (21-8, 14-4) NET Ranking 47
Games Remaining – 2
Notre Dame needs 1 more win, and they are a lock. I think they are in even without even winning another, but let’s be safe.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 95%
Duke (25-4, 15-3) NET Ranking 9
Games Remaining – 2
With multiple losses to other top 10 teams, Duke is quietly sneaking into the discussion of a #1 seed. They are obviously in the NCAAs no matter what happens the rest of the season.
Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 100%
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