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Feb
13
2022

Each ACC team’s path to the NCAA Tournament – 2/13/2022 Edition

Selection Sunday is roughly 5 weeks away. Each week we check our weekly bracket projections, but looking down the road what is each ACC team’s path to NCAA with besides the obvious win the ACC Tournament?

NET Rankings are from – https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2022/net

Pittsburgh (10-16, 5-10) NET Ranking 180

Games Remaining – 5

Pittsburgh already has 16 losses. They have to win the ACC Tournament, but they are playing better.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

NC State (10-16, 3-12) NET Ranking 136

Games Remaining – 5

NC state already has 16 losses. They have to win the ACC Tournament, but as opposed to Pittsburgh they are not playing better. They have 1 win since January 12.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 0%

Georgia Tech (10-14, 3-10) NET Ranking 153

Games Remaining – 7

If Georgia Tech wins out, then gets the ACCT Final and loses they would be 20-15 or 21-15. They might get a brief look, but almost no chance that would be enough for aan t-large bid.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 1%

Boston College (9-14, 4-9) NET Ranking 169

Games Remaining – 7

Boston College is in the same position as Georgia Tech. If they win out and get to the ACCT final, there is the remotest chance.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 1%

Louisville (11-13, 5-9) NET Ranking 126

Games Remaining – 6

Just keep working on looking for a new coach Louisville.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 1%

Clemson (12-13, 4-10) NET Ranking 88

Games Remaining – 6

The committee won’t even look at a team under .500 in the ACC. Clemson has to win out and get to the ACCT Final to even get a bubble mention.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 1%

Syracuse (13-12, 7-7) NET Ranking 85

Games Remaining – 6

Syracuse is running out of time. They need a 5-1 finish at least, then a run to the ACCT Finals.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 5%

Florida State (13-11, 6-8) NET Ranking 97

Games Remaining – 6

Six losses in a row and multiple injuries have doomed Florida State. They need to go no worse than 5-1 in their final 6 games, they must have a major run in the ACCT.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 10%

Virginia (16-9, 10-5) NET Ranking 77

Games Remaining – 5

Virginia needs some final tally of 20 possibly 21 wins to feel like they are in decent bubble shape. That’s 5 more wins between the regular season and ACCT.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 35%

Virginia Tech (15-10, 7-7) NET Ranking 39

Games Remaining – 6

Virginia Tech needs a similar 20-21 win finish to Virginia to get in good position. They play each other this week so that’s kind of a big game. The winner’s NCAA chances will certainly get a bump.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 35%

North Carolina (18-7, 10-4) NET Ranking 38

Games Remaining – 6

The Tar Heels still need that Q1 win, but everything else looks pretty good. I’d like to see them hit the 21 or 22 win mark as well.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 75%

Miami (18-7, 10-4) NET Ranking 67

Games Remaining – 6

Miami got a big win at Wake Forest, and that gives them 4 Q1 wins including a sweep of Wake Forest. 21 wins is a good target. 22 or 23 should make it a lock.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 80%

Wake Forest (20-6, 10-5) NET Ranking 40

Games Remaining – 5

Wake Forest is in pretty good shape right now, but they probably need to win 23 games. There is just one Q1 win on their resume.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 80%

Notre Dame (18-7, 11-3) NET Ranking 56

Games Remaining – 6

Notre Dame is very close to locking up a bid. If they are 15-5 in the ACC, I can’t imagine they’d be left out.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 90%

Duke  (21-4, 11-3) NET Ranking 11

Games Remaining – 6

Duke could lose 5 of their last 6 and likely makes the field. They are easily the ACC’s biggest lock.

Chances to make the NCAA Tournament without ACCT Title – 99.9%

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