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Mar
14
2021

Each ACC team’s final path to the NCAA Tournament (updated 3/13/2021)

We’ve been reviewing each ACC team’s NCAA path prior to the ACC tournament, and now with the ACC tournament over how do we see things going?

LOCKS

Virginia 18-6 (15-4) – current seed 4

Florida State 16-6 (12-5) – current seed 5

Georgia Tech 17-8 (13-6) – current seed 7

North Carolina 18-10 (12-7) – current seed 7

Clemson 16-7 (10-7) – current seed 8

Virginia Tech 15-6 (9-5) – current seed 9 

Georgia Tech won the ACC Title with stirring win over Florida State in the ACC Championship Game. I think this pulls Georgia Tech to the 7 line. The reason is there will be glut of ACC teams on the 8/9 line. Clemson and Virginia Tech are almost certainly there, and UNC is either a 7 or 8. Georgia Tech suddenly has a quite strong resume with 9-6 Q1 and Q2 record and 6 wins over teams that will be in the NCAA Tournament. It simply wouldn’t make sense to have Georgia Tech behind UNC, Clemson, or Virginia Tech. It will depend how the committee weighs the early season losses to Georgia Tech and Mercer. If we’re being honest, Georgia Tech  probably should be a 6.

BUBBLE 

Syracuse 16-9 (10-8) – current seed 11

Louisville 13-7 (8-6) – Last 4 in

Duke 13-11 (11-9) – OUT

Syracuse looks in pretty good shape because the bubble fell apart, but Georgetown winning the Big East did steal a big. Louisville is the team that needs to worry most, but having Georgia Tech win the ACC who the Cards beat certainly doesn’t hurt.

Duke isn’t making the Big Dance without an outbreak somewhere. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen.

IT’S OVER

NC State 13-10 (9-9)

Miami 10-17 (6-16)

Notre Dame 11-15 (8-12)

Pittsburgh 10-12 (6-11)

Wake Forest 6-16 (3-16)

Boston College 4-16 (2-12)

For these teams the season is over. NC State had to beat Syracuse to even approach the bubble. The Wolfpack may get a NIT call, but the others have no chance at the post-season.

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