We’ve been reviewing each ACC team’s NCAA path prior to the ACC tournament, and now with the ACC tournament going things can change quickly.
On to the Finals of the ACC Tournament as Georgia Tech will face Florida State. The teams played two competitive games with each winning on their home floor.
LOCKS
Virginia 18-6 (15-4) – current seed 4
Florida State 16-5 (12-4) – current seed 4
North Carolina 18-10 (12-7) – current seed 7
Clemson 16-7 (10-7) – current seed 8
Virginia Tech 15-6 (9-5) – current seed 9
Georgia Tech 16-8 (12-6) – current seed 10
North Carolina had a good run in the ACC Tournament, but played a dreadful final 90s to bow out to Florida State 69-66. When the Heels guards are good this is a Sweet 16 caliber team. For stretches against the Noles they were. This will be an intriguing 6-7 (no worse than 8 seed) in the NCAA Tournament. Virginia had a COVID positive, and couldn’t play their semi-final game against Georgia Tech. Hopefully this won’t affect UVa’s NCAA status. They will be no worse than a 4 seed.
Florida State probably locks up a 4 seed with the win over UNC. If they win the ACC Title against Georgia Tech, I’ll move them to a 3 seed. Georgia Tech currently sits at 10, but win the ACC Tournament, and they probably move to a 7 or 8 seed and I would say 7.
Clemson and Virginia Tech looked like 8/9 seeds.
BUBBLE (Don’t need to win ACC Tournament)
Syracuse 16-9 (10-8) – current seed 11
Louisville 13-7 (8-6) – Last 4 in
Duke 13-11 (11-9) – OUT
Syracuse and Louisville are benefiting from the bubble around the country falling apart. Syracuse lost a close one to Virginia, but the recent win over UNC is looking better and better. Louisville is teetering, with that ugly 4-6 finish and bowing out of the ACC Tournament with the Wednesday loss to Duke. If the Cards make the NCAAs, it will be just barely.
What the Cards don’t need is Georgetown or Oregon State winning their conference tournaments and stealing two bids.
COVID ended Duke’s run, and they had a shot against Florida State. They’ll get a look, but in the end Duke doesn’t have enough to make the field.
IT’S OVER
NC State 13-10 (9-9)
Miami 10-17 (6-16)
Notre Dame 11-15 (8-12)
Pittsburgh 10-12 (6-11)
Wake Forest 6-16 (3-16)
Boston College 4-16 (2-12)
For these teams the season is over. NC State had to beat Syracuse to even approach the bubble. The Wolfpack may get a NIT call, but the others have no chance at the post-season.
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