Quantcast




«

»

Feb
24
2019

NCAA Tournament Projections for each ACC team – February 24, 2019

 

This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.

In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.

Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.

My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.

Locks

(1) Duke (24-3) (12-2) Projected Seed 1

NCAA.Net ranking : 3

Last 10 – (9-1)

Good Wins – *(37) Auburn, (80) Indiana, *(20) Texas Tech, *(7) Kentucky, *(37) Yale, (65) Clemson, *(15) Florida State, *(3) Virginia, (87) Princeton, *(3) Virginia, *(35) St. Johns, *(27) Louisville, (95) NC State, *(39) Syracuse

Bad Losses – None

Notes – When does Zion Williamson return? Duke is a top 10 team without him, but they aren’t winning the national title unless he’s healthy. I’m guessing he’s back within 2 weeks.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/26 – @Virginia Tech

3/2 – Miami

(3) Virginia (24-2) (12-2) Projected Seed 1 

NCAA.Net ranking : 2

Last 10 – (8-2)

Good Wins – *(25) Wisconsin, *(23) VCU, *(19) Maryland, (70) Dayton, (66) Marshall, *(15) Florida State, (65) Clemson, *(29) Virginia Tech, (74) South Carolina, *(6) UNC, (95) NC State, (29) Virginia Tech

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Virginia beats two ranked teams on the road this past week. They continue just roll against everyone not named Duke. The schedule this week is basically a layup for the Hoos.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/27 – Georgia Tech

3/2 – Pittsburgh

(6) North Carolina (22-5) (12-2) Projected Seed 1

NCAA.Net ranking : 6

Last 10 – (9-1)

Good Wins – (51) Davidson, *(32) Wofford, * (5) Gonzaga, *(29) Virginia Tech, *(27) Louisville, (80) Harvard, (95) NC State, (95) NC State, *(2) Duke

Bad Losses – None

Notes – UNC is making it to the 1 line this week after dominanting wins over Duke and Florida State. Now I don’t believe the ACC will get three 1 seeds, but today at this moment UNC belongs there. They must sweep to stay there.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/26 – Syracuse

3/2 – @Clemson

(15) Florida State (21-6) (9-5) Projected Seed 4

NCAA.Net ranking : 24

Last 10 – (8-2)

Good Wins – *(11) Purdue, *(13)  LSU, (65) Florida, (65) Clemson, *(27) Louisville, *(39) Syracuse, (65) Clemson

Bad Losses – (130) Boston College, (168) Pittsburgh

Notes – I’m not dropping FSU for losing at UNC. Their win over LSU is starting to look like one of the best OOC wins of the year.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/25 – Notre Dame

3/2 – NC State

(29) Virginia Tech (21-6) (10-5) Projected Seed 6

NCAA.Net ranking : 12

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins –  *(11) Purdue,  *(18) Washington, (77) Northeastern, *(39) Syracuse, (95) NC State

Bad Losses – (102) Penn State

Notes – Virginia Tech has locked up a NCAA bid. They are playing for NCAA seeding and for a double bye in the ACC tournament. Duke this week is huge opportunity this week.

2/26 – Duke

 (28) Louisville (18-10) (9-6) Projected Seed 8

NCAA.Net ranking : 22

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins –  *(12) Michigan State, (66) Vermont, (75) Lipscomb, (53) Seton Hall, *(6) UNC, (82) Kent State, *(29) Virginia Tech, (65) Clemson, (95) NC State

Bad Losses – *(168) Pittsburgh, (100) Indiana

Notes – Louisville has enough quality wins that they will make the NCAAs with just 1 more win. The problem is they suddenly are having a lot of difficulty holding on to 2nd half leads.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/27 – @Boston College

3/3 – Notre Dame

(39) Syracuse (18-9) (9-5) Projected Seed 8

NCAA.Net ranking : 44

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins –  (54) Ohio State, (65) Clemson, *(2) Duke, (83) Georgetown, (77) Northeastern, *(27) Louisville

Bad Losses –  (135) Connecticut, *(151) Georgia Tech

Notes – Syracuse is 1 more win from locking up their NCAA bid. A UNC over doesn’t seem likely, and Wake Forest can be a tricky game.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/26 – @UNC

3/2 – @Wake Forest

(95) NC State (20-8) (8-7) Projected Seed 9

NCAA.Net ranking : 32

Last 10 – (5-5)

Good Wins –  *(37) Auburn, (65) Clemson, *(39) Syracuse

Bad Losses – (154) Wake Forest

Notes – NC State is safely in this week, but they really could use another quality win. Their magic number is 2 more ACC wins.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

3/2 – @Florida State

Bubble But In

NONE

Bubble But Out 

(65) Clemson (16-11) (6-8) 

NCAA.Net ranking : 43

Last 10 – (5-5)

Good Wins –  (75) Libscomb, (74) South Carolina *(29) Virginia Tech, (94) Radford

Bad Losses – (111) Nebraska, (119) Miami

Notes – I can’t put Clemson in until they reach .500 in the ACC. There just aren’t enough quality wins.  A win over over UNC this week would do wonders, but they have to get by Pittsburgh first.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/27 – @Pittsburgh

3/2 – UNC

Only if they win the ACC Tournament

(168) Pittsburgh (12-15) (2-12)

NCAA.Net ranking : 111

Last 10 – (0-10)

Good Wins –  *(27) Louisville, *(15) Florida State

Bad Losses – *(309) Niagara,  (124) West Virginia, *(154) Wake Forest, (130) Boston College, *(151) Georgia Tech

Notes – Pittsburgh lost to Georgia Tech last week. Nobody else has lost to Georgia Tech in over a month. Pitt can end Clemson’s NCAA chances this week if they pull the upset.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/27 – Clemson

3/2 – @Virginia

(143) Notre Dame (13-14)(3-11) 

NCAA.Net ranking : 105

Last 10 – (2-8)

Good Wins –  *(11) Purdue

Bad Losses – *(151) Georgia Tech, (114) UCLA, (119) Miami, *(154) Wake Forest

Notes – Notre Dame hit rock bottom with a home loss to Wake Forest this past week. Mike Brey might start to feel some pressure going into next year.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/25 – @Florida State

3/3 – @Louisville

(130) Boston College (13-13) (4-10)

NCAA.Net ranking : 124

Last 10 – (4-6)

Good Wins – *(41) Minnesota, *(15) Florida State

Bad Losses – *(233) IUPUI, *(178) Hartford, (143) Notre Dame, (143) Notre Dame, (103) Providence

Notes – Isn’t it time to turn the page on the Jim Christian era?

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/27 – Louisville

3/3 – @Georgia Tech

(151) Georgia Tech (12-16) (4-11)

NCAA.Net ranking : 129

Last 10 – (2-8)

Good Wins –  (85) Arkansas, *(39) Syracuse

Bad Losses – *(169) Gardner-Webb, *(160) Georgia, *(152) Northwestern, (143) Notre Dame

Notes – Georgia Tech fans will just have to wait Josh Pastner out, because he will be in Atlanta at least one more year.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/27 – @Virginia

3/3 – Boston College

(119) Miami (12-14) (4-10)

NCAA.Net ranking : 87

Last 10 – (3-7)

Good Wins –  (65) Clemson, (90) Lehigh

Bad Losses – (136) Rutgers, (130) Boston College

Notes – ACC fans can’t wait for the pillow fight between Miami and Wake Forest this week.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/26 – @Wake Forest

3/2 – @Duke

(154) Wake Forest (10-16) (3-11) 

NCAA.Net ranking : 192

Last 10 – (3-7)

Good Wins –  (51) Davidson, (95) NC State

Bad Losses – *(282) Houston Baptist, *(249) Richmond, *(169) Gardner-Webb, *(186) St. Joseph’s, *(151) Georgia Tech, (119) Miami, (130) Boston College

Notes – Wake Forest hasn’t packed it in this season. The win at Notre Dame was a bit of a surprise. I think they’ll beat Miami or Syracuse this week.

This week’s upcoming games

2/26 – Miami

3/2 – Syracuse

Make sure you follow the All Sports Discussion Twitter account at @AllSportsDACC and please like our Facebook Page



Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>