This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.
Locks
(1) Duke (23-2) (11-1) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 2
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – *(39) Auburn, (80) Indiana, *(19) Texas Tech, *(7) Kentucky, *(37) Yale, (57) Clemson, *(17) Florida State, *(4) Virginia, (90) Princeton, *(4) Virginia, *(35) St. Johns, *(24) Louisville, (96) NC State
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Duke spotted Louisville 23 points on the road with 9 minutes left. They won, and it was incredible. Duke has a huge week ahead with UNC and Syracuse on the schedule.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – UNC
2/23 – @Syracuse
(4) Virginia (22-2) (10-2) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 3
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – *(25) Wisconsin, *(27) VCU, *(22) Maryland, (85) Dayton, (66) Marshall, *(17) Florida State, (57) Clemson, *(28) Virginia Tech, (81) South Carolina, *(10) UNC, (96) NC State
Bad Losses – None
Notes – As long as Virginia isn’t playing Duke, they have been unbeatable. They are still on track for a #1 NCAA seed.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/18 – @Virginia Tech
2/23 – @Louisville
(10) North Carolina (20-5) (10-2) Projected Seed 2
NCAA.Net ranking : 9
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – *(44) Davidson, *(34) Wofford, * (5) Gonzaga, *(28) Virginia Tech, *(24) Louisville, (77) Harvard, (96) NC State, (96) NC State
Bad Losses – None
Notes –It’s Duke vs North Carolina week. What else needs to be said?
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – @Duke
2/23 – Florida State
(17) Florida State (20-5) (8-4) Projected Seed 4
NCAA.Net ranking : 25
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(13) Purdue, *(6) LSU, (65) Florida, (57) Clemson, *(24) Louisville, *(43) Syracuse
Bad Losses – (130) Boston College, (154) Pittsburgh
Notes – Florida State hasn’t lost in nearly a month. They can move up to the 3 line with a sweep this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/19 – @Clemson
2/13 – @UNC
(25) Louisville (18-8) (9-4) Projected Seed 6
NCAA.Net ranking : 16
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(14) Michigan State, (69) Vermont, (63) Lipscomb, *(46) Seton Hall, *(10) UNC, (78) Kent State, *(28) Virginia Tech, (57) Clemson, (96) NC State
Bad Losses – (154) Pittsburgh
Notes – If you want to beat Louisville, just press them – ask Duke.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – @Syracuse
2/23 – Virginia
(28) Virginia Tech (20-5) (9-4) Projected Seed 6
NCAA.Net ranking : 13
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – *(13) Purdue, *(21) Washington, (74) Northeastern, *(43) Syracuse, (96) NC State
Bad Losses – (106) Penn State
Notes – Virginia Tech probably just needs 1 more win to lock up a NCAA bid. They have done this without Justin Robinson playing the last few weeks.
2/18 – Virginia
2/23 – @Notre Dame
(43) Syracuse (17-8) (8-4) Projected Seed 9
NCAA.Net ranking : 50
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (54) Ohio State, (57) Clemson, *(1) Duke, (97) Georgetown, (74) Northeastern
Bad Losses – (133) Connecticut, (151) Georgia Tech
Notes – If Syracuse loses both games this week, they could find themselves back on the bubble. They need at least a split.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – Louisville
2/23 – Duke
Bubble But In
(96) NC State (18-8) (6-7) Projected Seed 10
NCAA.Net ranking : 31
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – *(39) Auburn, (57) Clemson, *(43) Syracuse
Bad Losses – (172) Wake Forest
Notes – NC State has what appears to be a manageable week ahead. They can’t drop either game to Boston College or Wake Forest.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – Boston College
2/24 – Wake Forest
Bubble But Out
(57) Clemson (15-10) (5-7)
NCAA.Net ranking : 42
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – (63) Libscomb, (81) South Carolina *(28) Virginia Tech, (94) Radford
Bad Losses – (108) Nebraska
Notes – No team needs a sweep worse than Clemson this week. The Tigers have played themselves right out of the Big Dance after being in the week before.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/19 – Florida State
2/23 – Boston College
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(153) Pittsburgh (12-14) (2-11)
NCAA.Net ranking : 102
Last 10 – (1-9)
Good Wins – *(24) Louisville, *(17) Florida State
Bad Losses – *(313) Niagara, (121) West Virginia, *(172) Wake Forest, (130) Boston College
Notes – Pittsburgh has lost 5 straight games by single digits and 9 straight in total. A game against Georgia Tech this week could end the losing streak.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – @Georgia Tech
(125) Notre Dame (13-12)(3-9)
NCAA.Net ranking : 94
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – *(13) Purdue
Bad Losses – (151) Georgia Tech, (114) UCLA, (108) Miami
Notes – Notre Dame made a game at Virginia a lot closer than anyone expected. If they sweep this week at home, the NIT is still a possibility.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/19 – Wake Forest
2/23 – Virginia Tech
(130) Boston College (13-11) (4-8)
NCAA.Net ranking : 131
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – *(45) Minnesota, *(17) Florida State
Bad Losses – *(227) IUPUI, *(174) Hartford, (125) Notre Dame, (125) Notre Dame, (103) Providence
Notes – Break out Boston College! They won both their games this past week against Pittsburgh and Miami.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – @NC State
2/23 – @Clemson
(151) Georgia Tech (11-15) (3-10)
NCAA.Net ranking : 118
Last 10 – (1-9)
Good Wins – (79) Arkansas, *(43) Syracuse
Bad Losses – *(169) Gardner-Webb, *(156) Georgia, *(150) Northwestern, (125) Notre Dame
Notes – Remember when Georgia Tech was 2-1 in the ACC? It’s true I promise.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/20 – Pittsburgh
2/23 – @Miami
(108) Miami (11-14) (3-10)
NCAA.Net ranking : 83
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – (88) Fresno State, (57) Clemson, (95) Lehigh
Bad Losses – (137) Rutgers
Notes – Miami won’t make the NCAAs, and this past week by upsetting Clemson, they have made sure the Tigers won’t make may it either.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/23 – Georgia Tech
(172) Wake Forest (9-15) (2-10)
NCAA.Net ranking : 197
Last 10 – (2-8)
Good Wins – *(44) Davidson, (96) NC State
Bad Losses – *(284) Houston Baptist, *(256) Richmond, (169) Gardner-Webb, (182) St. Joseph’s, *(151) Georgia Tech, (108) Miami, (130) Boston College
Notes – I hope Danny Manning has updated his resume. He might need it at the end of the year.
This week’s upcoming games
2/19 – @Notre Dame
2/24 – @NC State
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