This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.
Locks
(3) Virginia (20-1) (8-1) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 1
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – *(30) Wisconsin, *(31) VCU, *(23) Maryland, (98) Dayton, (66) Marshall, *(22) Florida State, (55) Clemson, *(26) Virginia Tech, (94) South Carolina
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Virginia nearly blew a double digit lead at NC State, but survived. This week they host Duke in one of the biggest games of the year.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/9 – Duke
(2) Duke (19-2) (8-1) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 3
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – *(34) Auburn, (69) Indiana, *(24) Texas Tech, *(10) Kentucky, *(37) Yale, (55) Clemson, *(22) Florida State, *(3) Virginia, (77) Princeton
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Duke just had a couple of 20+ win this past week over Notre Dame and St. Johns. Boston College looks like another easy win, and then it is Gameday at Virginia.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – Boston College
2/9 – @Virginia
(9) North Carolina (17-4) (7-1) Projected Seed 2
NCAA.Net ranking : 10
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – *(38) Davidson, *(44) Wofford, * (12) Gonzaga, (68) UCLA,*(26) Virginia Tech, *(17) Louisville
Bad Losses – None
Notes – UNC had a very impressive week blowing out Georgia Tech in a potential trap game, and then routing Louisville at Louisville. They get a couple of winnable home games this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – NC State
2/9 – Miami
(17) Louisville (16-6) (7-2) Projected Seed 5
NCAA.Net ranking : 15
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(4) Michigan State, (57) Vermont, (56) Lipscomb, *(43) Seton Hall, *(9) UNC, (89) Kent State
Bad Losses – (103) Pittsburgh
Notes – I expected Louisville to play much better at home against UNC in a loss. Louisville is not anywhere near the bubble, but this week upcoming is critical for ACC and NCAA seeding.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/4 – @Virginia Tech
2/9 – @Florida State
(26) Virginia Tech (18-3) (7-2) Projected Seed 5
NCAA.Net ranking : 9
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – * (8) Purdue, *(21) Washington, (93) Northeastern, *(41) Syracuse
Bad Losses – (126) Penn State
Notes – Virginia Tech without Justin Robinson stunned NC State in Raleigh with a 23 point win. That’s was some great coaching by Buzz Williams. They are going to have get by with smoke and mirrors until he returns. They’ll take a split this week.
2/4 – Louisville
2/9 – @Clemson
(41) Syracuse (16-6) (7-2) Projected Seed 7
NCAA.Net ranking : 42
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – *(49) Ohio State, (55) Clemson, *(2) Duke, (96) Georgetown, (93) Northeastern
Bad Losses – (146) Connecticut, (138) Georgia Tech
Notes – Syracuse had a solid week with road wins at Boston College and Pittsburgh. If they can get a sweep this week, they would be in great NCAA Tournament position.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – Florida State
2/9 – Boston College
(22) Florida State (16-5) (4-4) Projected Seed 8
NCAA.Net ranking : 31
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – *(8) Purdue, *(11) LSU, (67) Florida, (55) Clemson
Bad Losses – (113) Boston College, (103) Pittsburgh
Notes – Florida State seems to have righted the ship recently winning their last 3 games. This week a sweep would move them off the 8/9 line. A split keeps them there, but lose both and it is back in the bubble.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – @Syracuse
2/9 – Louisville
Bubble But In
(115) NC State (16-6) (4-5) Projected Seed 12
NCAA.Net ranking : 34
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – *(34) Auburn, (55) Clemson
Bad Losses – (170) Wake Forest
Notes – I kept NC State in the field this week, but just barely. Losing to Virginia is one thing, but getting beat by shorthanded Virginia Tech while scoring 24 points is a resume killer. Yes NC State scored an astonishing 24 points in that loss to the Hokies. It’s a must NC State gets a split this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – @UNC
2/9 – @Pittsburgh
Bubble But Out
(55) Clemson (13-8) (3-5)
NCAA.Net ranking : 53
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – (56) Libscomb, (94) South Carolina
Bad Losses – (115) NC State
Notes – Clemson did what they needed sweeping Pittsburgh and Wake Forest. If they sweep this week, they can start to entertain NCAA thoughts again.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/6 – @Georgia Tech
2/9 – Virginia Tech
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(103) Pittsburgh (12-10) (2-7)
NCAA.Net ranking : 81
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – *(17) Louisville, *(22) Florida State
Bad Losses – *(289) Niagara, (115) NC State, (110) West Virginia
Notes – Pittsburgh is certainly more competitive than year’s past, but they are just overmatched by most of their opponents. I still expect a couple of more ACC wins though.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – @Wake Forest
2/9 – NC State
(147) Notre Dame (12-10)(2-7)
NCAA.Net ranking : 88
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – *(8) Purdue
Bad Losses – (115) NC State, (138) Georgia Tech
Notes – Notre Dame won at Boston College. I did not see that coming. Could they go on a bit of a run now? A game at Miami is winnable.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/6 – @Miami
(113) Boston College (11-9) (2-6)
NCAA.Net ranking : 135
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – *(33) Minnesota, *(22) Florida State
Bad Losses – *(195) IUPUI, *(196) Hartford, *(147) Notre Dame
Notes – I sure did miss on Boston College last week. I thought with a couple of home games this week, they could work themselves back into the post-season discussion. They didn’t beat either Syracuse or Notre Dame. It looks like another lost season in Boston.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/5 – @Duke
2/9 – @Syracuse
(138) Georgia Tech (11-11) (3-6)
NCAA.Net ranking : 93
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – (79) Arkansas, *(41) Syracuse
Bad Losses – *(183) Gardner-Webb, (124) Georgia
Notes – Georgia Tech’s season has went south. They’ve lost 5 of their last 6 games. Offense is just a suggestion for this team.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/6 – Clemson
2/10 – @Notre Dame
(143) Miami (9-12) (1-8)
NCAA.Net ranking : 110
Last 10 – (2-8)
Good Wins – NONE
Bad Losses – (125) Rutgers, (115) NC State
Notes – If games were 30 minutes long, Miami have 13 or 14 wins. They aren’t and the losses just keep mounting.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/6 – Notre Dame
2/9 – @UNC
(170) Wake Forest (8-13) (1-8)
NCAA.Net ranking : 194
Last 10 – (2-8)
Good Wins – *(39) Davidson
Bad Losses – *(301) Houston Baptist, *(245) Richmond, (183) Gardner-Webb, (164) St. Joseph’s, (138) Georgia Tech, (143) Miami, (113) Boston College
Notes – The season can’t end soon enough for Wake Forest. That’s all we can say about the Deacs.
2/5 – Pittsburgh
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