This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.
Locks
(6) Virginia (15-0) (3-0) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 1
Last 10 – (10-0)
Good Wins – *(40) Wisconsin, *(31) VCU, *(21) Maryland, (70) Dayton, (59) Marshall, *(14) Florida State, (62) Clemson
Bad Losses – None
Notes – A monster couple of games for Virginia this week. They face two top 10 teams in Virginia Tech and Duke. If the Hoos just get a split, I’ll leave them on the 1 line.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/15 – Virginia Tech
1/19 – @Duke
(3) Duke (14-1) (3-0) Projected Seed 1
NCAA.Net ranking : 2
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (17) Auburn, * (32) Indiana, * (16) Texas Tech, * (30) Kentucky, (65) Yale, (62) Clemson, *(14) Florida State, (94) Eastern Michigan
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Duke got a last second win over a very good Florida State team Saturday on the road. This week is Syracuse and then possibly the game of the year in the ACC against Virginia at home. It’s is the great Duke talent vs the outstanding Virginia’s defense.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/14 – Syracuse
1/19 – Virginia
(29) Virginia Tech (14-1) (3-0) Projected Seed 3
NCAA.Net ranking : 10
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (13) Purdue, * (27) Washington, (98) Northeastern
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Virginia Tech got an underrated win at Georgia Tech this past week. We’ll find out just how good the Hokies are this week when they head to Virginia. It’s the biggest Virginia vs Virginia Tech game in history.
1/15 – @Virginia
1/19 – Wake Forest
(14) Florida State (13-3) (1-2) Projected Seed 4
NCAA.Net ranking : 19
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – * (13) Purdue, * (18) LSU, (61) St. Louis, (96) Florida
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Oh if FSU could have held off Duke, I’d have them as a 2 seed this week. The Noles are really good, but just a notch below Virginia and Duke. They have a couple of winnable, but tricky road games at Pittsburgh and Boston College. A loss in either would send the Noles down these projections.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/14 – @Pittsburgh
1/20 – @Boston College
(20) North Carolina (12-4) (2-1) Projected Seed 5
NCAA.Net ranking : 8
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(37) Davidson, *(49) Wofford, * (11) Gonzaga, (57) UCLA
Bad Losses – None
Notes – UNC looked solid winning at NC State, but what the heck happened at home against Louisville? The Cardinals ran the Heels out of the Dean Dome in a shocking loss. A sweep this week would get UNC back on track.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/15 – Notre Dame
1/12 – @Miami
(24) Louisville (11-5) (2-1) Projected Seed 6
NCAA.Net ranking : 32
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(5) Michigan State, (51) Vermont, (64) Lipscomb, *(22) Seton Hall, *(20) UNC
Bad Losses – (116) Pittsburgh
Notes – How do you recover from a loss at Pitt? How about playing your best game of the season on the road at UNC. The Cardinals have several high quality wins on the their resume. Keep an eye on that road game at Georgia Tech this week. The Jackets aren’t talented, but play serious defense.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/16 – Boston College
1/19 – @Georgia Tech
(114) NC State (14-2) (2-1) Projected Seed 8
NCAA.Net ranking : 17
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – (71) Penn State, *(17) Auburn
Bad Losses – None
Notes – The Wolfpack didn’t play well in a home loss to UNC. The record is gaudy, but the resume is a little thin. Two road games are on the schedule this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/15 – @Wake Forest
1/19 – @Notre Dame
Bubble But In
NONE
Bubble But Out
(68) Syracuse (11-5) (2-1)
NCAA.Net ranking : 46
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – *(42) Ohio State, (62) Clemson
Bad Losses – (132) Oregon, (134) Connecticut, (131) Old Dominion, (135) Georgia Tech
Notes – What was that performance against Georgia Tech at home? That knocks Syracuse out of the field this week. That’s a loss that will haunt Syracuse all year. Duke is loss, but they better beat Pittsburgh this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/14- @Duke
1/19 – Pittsburgh
(110) Notre Dame (11-5)(1-2)
NCAA.Net ranking : 77
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – *(13) Purdue
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Notre Dame must get a split out of this week’s games. Notre Dame has a resume that’s more NIT than NCAA. They need quality wins and road wins.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/15 – @UNC
1/19 – NC State
(116) Pittsburgh (11-5) (1-2)
NCAA.Net ranking : 70
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – (61) Saint Louis, *(24) Louisville
Bad Losses – (126) West Virginia, * (310) Niagara, (114) NC State
Notes – Don’t worry about the loss to NC State as a bad one. Unless the Wolfpack tank, the computer numbers will sort out. Pitt got the split they needed by getting a strong win over Louisville. Another split this week would keep Pitt on the fringes of the NCAA discussion.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/14 – Florida State
1/19 – Syracuse
(135) Georgia Tech (10-6) (2-1)
NCAA.Net ranking : 102
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (90) Arkansas, (68) Syracuse
Bad Losses – (112) Northwestern, *(166) Gardner-Webb
Notes – Quietly Georgia Tech has won 4 of their last 5 games including a stunning win at Syracuse this past weekend. Another split this weekend keeps them on them on the bubble. Win both and they may sneak into the field.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/16 – @Clemson
1/19 – Louisville
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(125) Boston College (9-6) (0-3)
NCAA.Net ranking : 148
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – *(26) Minnesota
Bad Losses – *(216) IUPUI, *(158) Hartford, (106) Providence, (110) Notre Dame
Notes – If Boston College gets swept this week, they are done. This is one of the more disappointing teams so far in the ACC.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/16 – @Louisville
1/20 – Florida State
(62) Clemson (10-6) (0-3)
NCAA.Net ranking : 59
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – (88) Georgia, (58) Radford, (64) Libscomb
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Clemson is a more disappointing team than Boston College. They started the season in the top 20, and are now 0-3 in the ACC. Beating Georgia Tech this week is an absolute must.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/16 – Georgia Tech
(120) Miami (9-7) (1-3)
NCAA.Net ranking : 81
Last 10 – (4-6 )
Good Wins – (79) Fresno State
Bad Losses – (115) Rutgers, *(156) Penn, (114) NC State
Notes – Miami beat Wake Forest this past week. That’s one team that is worse than Miami this year. If they can beat UNC this week, they’ll still have some life.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
1/19 – UNC
(198) Wake Forest (7-8) (0-3)
NCAA.Net ranking : 199
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – *(37) Davidson
Bad Losses – (221) Houston Baptist, *(262) Richmond, (166) Gardner-Webb, (173) St. Joseph’s, (135) Georgia Tech, (120) Miami
Notes – There is a truly awful team in the ACC. It’s Wake Forest. They are relegated to spoiler now.
1/15 – NC State
1/19 – @Virginia Tech
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