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Dec
24
2018

NCAA Tournament Projections for each ACC team – December 24, 2018

This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.

In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.

Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.

My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com and I will also list the NCAA.net Rankings which is the new ranking system used by the committee.

Locks

(29) Virginia (11-0) (0-0) Projected Seed 1 

NCAA.Net ranking : 2

Last 10 – (10-0)

Good Wins – * (9) Wisconsin, * (28) VCU, (72) Maryland

Bad Losses – None

Notes – One more game for Virginia before the showdown with Florida State the first week of January.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/31 – Marshall

(5) Duke (11-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 1

NCAA.Net ranking : 1

Last 10 – (9-1)

Good Wins – * (17) Auburn, * (25) Indiana, * (49) Texas Tech, (62) Kentucky, (75) Yale

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Duke shot poorly against a good Texas Tech team and still won going away. They are a better defensive team than recent years.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

NONE

(13) Florida State (11-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 3

NCAA.Net ranking : 30

Last 10 – (9-1)

Good Wins – * (37) Purdue, * (20) LSU, (73) St. Louis, (91) Florida

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Didn’t we say something already about a showdown with Virginia in early January? That’s what we are waiting for.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

NONE

(41) Virginia Tech (10-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 4

NCAA.Net ranking : 21

Last 10 – (9-1)

Good Wins –  * (37) Purdue, (76) Ball State, * (22) Washington

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Virginia Tech is really good right now. Wait until they get everyone back – They could challenge for the top 4 in the ACC.

12/28 – MD Eastern Shore

(42) North Carolina (8-3) (0-0) Projected Seed 5

NCAA.Net ranking : 20

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins – (67) UCLA, (82) Wofford, (69) Stanford, * (11) Gonzaga

Bad Losses – None

Notes – It was sloppy effort against Kentucky where the Heels got beat on the boards and lost. They’ll have to be much better when ACC play begins.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/29 – Davidson

(108) NC State (11-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 6

NCAA.Net ranking : 6

Last 10 – (9-1)

Good Wins –  (55) Penn State, * (17) Auburn, (79) Vanderbilt

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Don’t worry about the Wolfpack’s RPI. They beat a solid Auburn team this past week to prove they are NCAA worthy going into 2019.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/28 – Loyola MD

(23) Louisville (9-3) (0-0) Projected Seed 7

NCAA.Net ranking : 17

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins –  * (12) Michigan State, (56) Vermont, * (34) Lipscomb, * (33) Seton Hall

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Louisville has kind of a big game with Kentucky this week. That Seton Hall win looks better with each passing week.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/29 – Kentucky

Bubble But In

(103) Notre Dame (9-3)(0-0) Projected Seed 12

NCAA.Net ranking : 57

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins –  * (37) Purdue

Bad Losses – None

Notes – I’m squeezing Notre Dame in this week, but they need a lot more on their resume.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/29  – Coppin St

Bubble But Out 

(81) Syracuse (8-4) (0-0) 

NCAA.Net ranking : 67

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins –  * (24) Ohio State

Bad Losses – (138) Oregon, * (160) Connecticut, (121) Old Dominion

Notes – Syracuse played themselves right out the NCAAs this week with a recent loss to Buffalo. Buffalo is solid, tournament teams don’t lose that game at home.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/29 – St. Bonaventure

(89) Clemson (9-3) (0-0)

NCAA.Net ranking : 58

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins –  * (38) The Citadel, * (46) Radford

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Clemson may be rounding into form having won their last 3 games. Libscomb will be a home game they look past.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/30 – Libscomb

(151) Pittsburgh (9-3) (0-0)

NCAA.Net ranking : 83

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins –  (73) Saint Louis

Bad Losses – (136) West Virginia, * (261) Niagara

Notes – The NIT would be a great first year for Jeff Capel.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/29 – Colgate

(90) Boston College (9-2) (0-0)

NCAA.Net ranking : 102

Last 10 – (9-2)

Good Wins – * (10) Minnesota

Bad Losses – * (161) IUPUI

Notes – The loss to IUPUI is going to be an anchor for BC all year.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/31 – Hartford

Only if they win the ACC Tournament

(99) Miami (7-4) (0-0)

NCAA.Net ranking : 81

Last 10 – (6-4 )

Good Wins –  * (43) Fresno State

Bad Losses – (101) Rutgers

Notes – It’s going to be hard for Miami to make a move towards the NCAAs until conference play begins. They just better not lose again before then.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/29 – Campbell

(137) Georgia Tech (6-5) (0-0)

NCAA.Net ranking : 128

Last 10 – (5-5)

Good Wins –  None

Bad Losses – * (154) Georgia, * (171) Gardner-Webb

Notes – Georgia Tech’s win at Arkansas will hurt the Razorback’s NCAA chances the rest of the year. The Jackets returned to form with an ugly home defeat to Georgia.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

12/28 – Kennesaw St.

(198) Wake Forest (6-4) (0-0) 

NCAA.Net ranking : 181

Last 10 – (5-3)

Good Wins –  (60) Davidson

Bad Losses – (135) Houston Baptist, (122) St. Joseph, * (309) Richmond

Notes – The only thing Wake Forest is playing for this season is Danny Manning’s job.

12/29 – Gardner-Webb

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