This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com.
Locks
(1) Virginia (25-2) (14-1) Projected Seed 1
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (8) Rhode Island, (98) Boston College, * (5) UNC, * (46) Syracuse, * (50) Virginia Tech, (57) NC State, * (4) Duke, * (10) Clemson, (52) Louisville, * (46) Syracuse, * (31) Miami, * (45) Florida State (72) UNC-Greensboro
Bad Losses – None
Notes – The Hoos continue to be the country’s most consistent team. There’s almost no way they won’t be a a #1 seed.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – @Pittsburgh
3/1 – Louisville
(4) Duke (23-5) (11-4) Projected Seed 2
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – * (14) Michigan State, (54) Texas, (64) Florida, * (45) Florida State, * (31) Miami, (68) Notre Dame, (91) South Dakota, (50) Virginia Tech, * (10) Clemson, (52) Louisville, (81) Utah Valley
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Duke has figured out how to play defense… watch out.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – Syracuse
2/26- @Virginia Tech
(5) North Carolina (22-7) (11-5) Projected Seed 2
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – * (35) Arkansas, * (23) Michigan,* (11) Tennessee, * (20) Ohio State, (98) Boston College, * (10) Clemson, (68) Notre Dame, (94) Stanford, * (4) Duke, (57) NC State, (68) Notre Dame, (79) Bucknell, * (46) Syracuse, (52) Louisville
Bad Losses – (131) Wofford
Notes – Joel Berry is willing this UNC team to a potential 1 seed. If UNC wins out it’s possible and they are playing well enough to do it.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/27 – Miami
(10) Clemson (20-7) (9-6) Projected Seed 5
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – * (20) Ohio State, (64) Florida, (73) South Carolina, * (41) Louisiana, (52) Louisville (98) Boston College, (57) NC State, (96) Hofstra, * (31) Miami, (68) Notre Dame, *(5) UNC
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Clemson has hit a wall and a number of injuries aren’t helping. They’ll make the NCAAs no matter what, but you don’t want to go in limping.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – Georgia Tech
2/28 – Florida State
(50) Virginia Tech (20-8) (9-6) Projected Seed 7
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – * (48) Washington, * (5) UNC, (68) Notre Dame, (98) Boston College, * (1) Virginia, (57) NC State, * (10) Clemson
Bad Losses – * (129) St. Louis
Notes – Virginia Tech has just about wrapped that NCAA bid. They are playing for seeding now. If they win both their games this week, they could really move up.
2/24 – Louisville
2/26 – Duke
(31) Miami (19-8) (8-7) Projected Seed 8
Last 10 – (6-4 )
Good Wins – * (22) Middle Tennessee, * (45) Florida State, * (52) Louisville, (57) NC State, * (50) Virginia Tech, (68) Notre Dame
Bad Losses – * (160) Georgia Tech
Notes – Miami desperately needed that win at Notre Dame. They aren’t out of the bubble woods just yet. The Canes need no worse than a split this week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – Boston College
2/27 – @North Carolina
(45) Florida State (19-8) (8-7) Projected Seed 8
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (64) Florida * (5) UNC, * (43) Syracuse, * (31) Miami, (50) Virginia Tech, (52) Louisville, * (46) Syracuse, * (10) Clemson
Bad Losses – (126) Wake Forest
Notes – If Florida State loses both games this week, they could be a double digit seed next week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/25 – @NC State
2/28 – @Clemson
Bubble But In
(57) NC State (19-9) (9-6) Projected Seed 10
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – * (18) Arizona, * (4) Duke, * (10) Clemson, * (5) UNC, (68) Notre Dame, * (46) Syracuse, (83) Penn State, (98) Boston College
Bad Losses – * (145) Northern Iowa
Notes – NC State still needs to do a little more work to solidify their NCAA bid, but they are getting really close. A sweep this week would lock things up.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/25 – Florida State
3/1 – @Georgia Tech
(52) Louisville (18-10) (8-7) Projected Seed 11
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – * (45) Florida State, (68) Notre Dame, * (50) Virginia Tech, (98) Boston College, (87) Southern Illinois
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Louisville has lost 6 of their last 9 games. They are in serious trouble, and have to find a way to get a split this upcoming week.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – @Virginia Tech
3/1 – Virginia
Bubble But Out
(46) Syracuse (18-10) (7-8)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – * (38) Buffalo, (60) Maryland, (50) Virginia Tech (76) Toledo, (98) Boston College, (52) Louisville, * (31) Miami
Bad Losses – (126) Wake Forest, (160) Georgia Tech
Notes – Syracuse isn’t dead just yet, but they are out this week. If they could have gotten that win over UNC… They have win 2 of their final 3 games.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – @Duke
2/28 – @Boston College
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(98) Boston College (16-12) (6-9)
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – * (4) Duke, * (45) Florida State, * (31) Miami
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Boston College made a good run at the NCAAs, but it won’t happen this year. The NIT would be a good consolation prize for them if they make it.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – @Miami
2/28 – Syracuse
(68) Notre Dame (16-12)(6-9)
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – * (15) Wichita State, * (46) Syracuse, (74) LSU, (57) NC State, (98) Boston College, * (45) Florida State, (98) Boston College
Bad Losses – (105) Indiana, * (160) Georgia Tech
Notes – Oh if Notre Dame could have beat Miami at home… A sweep this week is an absolute must.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – @Wake Forest
2/28 – Pittsburgh
(126) Wake Forest (11-17) (4-12)
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – * (46) Syracuse, * (45) FSU, (72) UNC-Greensboro
Bad Losses – * (242) Liberty, (135) Drake, (156) Georgia Southern
Notes – Wake Forest is just playing out the string.
2/24 – Notre Dame
(160) Georgia Tech (11-17) (4-11)
Last 10 – (1-9)
Good Wins – * (31) Miami, (68) Notre Dame, * (46) Syracuse
Bad Losses – * (215) Grambling, (131) Wofford, (112) Wright State, (126) Wake Forest
Notes – The Jackets showed a little life in a respectable loss to Virginia. Do they have another ACC win them?
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – @Clemson
3/1 – NC State
(209) Pittsburgh (8-21) (0-16)
Last 10 – (0-10)
Good Wins – (92) Santa Barbara
Bad Losses – * (186) Navy, (157) Georgia Tech, (102) Montana, (126) Wake Forest
Notes –Pittsburgh couldn’t beat Wake Forest at home in a tight game. They will lose all 18 ACC regular season games.
This Week’s Upcoming Games.
2/24 – Virginia
2/28 – @Notre Dame
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