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Mar
06
2017

How the ACC Tournament will affect each ACC Team’s NCAA Prospects.

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The ACC Tournament is going play a major role in where the ACC Teams end up in the NCAA Tournament. Let’s take a look where an ACC team could end up based on how many games they win.

We pull the RPI numbes from CBS Sportsline. 

Here is the ACC Tournament Bracket. 

(4) North Carolina (26-6) (14-4) – ACC Tournament Seed 1

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 2

If the Heels lose on Thursday, that would drop them from the 1 line.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 2

This result may not cost the Heels the 1 Seed, but it would be up to the committee and I don’t like their chances to stay there.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 1

If the Tar Heels make it to the Finals of the ACC Tournament, they should stay as 1 seed. I’d be very  surprised if they lose a 1 seed at this point.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 1

The Heels are a lock 1 seed with an ACC Tournament Title.

(11) Florida State (24-7) (12-6) – ACC Tournament Seed 2

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 4

If the Noles lose on Friday, I think they still stay among the top 4 seeds.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 4

Only 1 ACC Tourney win won’t move the needle.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 3

Get to the ACC Tournament Finals and the Noles are a 3 seed.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 2

A 2 seed is probably as high as FSU can go.

(25) Notre Dame (23-8) (12-6) – ACC Tournament Seed 3

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 5

5 is as low as I can see the Irish drop.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 4

1 ACC Tournament win should get the Irish among the top 4 seeds.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 3

Get to the ACC Tournament Finals and the Irish are a 3 seed. – Sounds like FSU here.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 2

A 2 seed is the ceiling for Notre Dame.

(3) Louisville (24-7) (12-6) – ACC Tournament Seed 4

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 3

The Cards profile is good enough they won’t drop below a 3 seed no matter what happens in the ACC Tournament.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 3

They’ll need a deeper run to move above the 3 line here.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 2

A run to the Finals should land Louisville on the 2 line.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 1/2

Here is where is could get tricky. If the Cardinals win the ACC Tournament, they could be in the conversation for a #1 seed, but it’s not guaranteed like North Carolina.

(13) Duke (23-8) (11-7) ACC Tournament Seed 5

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 6

Duke may not want to lose their opening game, that would have them open as a 6 seed

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 5

Winning 1 tournament game won’t help Duke much.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 4

Now Duke makes some progress.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 3

Get to the finals of the ACCT, and I like Duke to be a 3 seed.

Win 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 2

Duke as 2 seed would happen with an ACCT title.

(16) Virginia (21-9) (11-7) ACC Tournament Seed 6

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 6

Virginia’s profile is similar to Duke except 1 seed spot higher.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 5

Winning 1 tournament game moves Virginia to a 5 seed.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 4

Virginia as a 4/5 seed would be problematic for a 1 seed in the Sweet 16.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 3

Virginia would be a 3 seed with an ACCT title game appearance.

Win 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 2

If the Hoos could win the ACC Title, they can reach the 2 line.

(46) Virginia Tech (21-9) (10-8) ACC Tournament Seed 7

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 8

If the Hokies don’t win their opening ACCT game, they’ll end up in the 8/9 game.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 7

Winning 1 tournament game should get Virginia Tech out of that 8/9 game.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 6

Now the Hokies are moving towards the protected seeds.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 5

Not much change for the Hokies reaching the Finals or Winning the ACC Tournament, this is 4/5 seed territory.

Win 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 4

Not much change for the Hokies reaching the Finals or Winning the ACC Tournament, this is 4/5 seed territory – sounds familiar.

(80) Syracuse (18-13) (10-8) ACC Tournament Seed 8

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 11

Syracuse’s RPI is terrible, but so is the bubble. Even if they lose to Miami, they should make the field… barely. They’ll be in the play-in game if they are knocked out of the ACCT without a win.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 10

Lock city if they win 1 ACCT game.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 9

I wouldn’t want to be the 1 seed that plays Syracuse in the 2nd round.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 7

Syracuse looking at magical run in New York, if they reach the finals.

Win 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 6

Syracuse wins the ACC? That would be something.

(41) Miami (20-10) (10-8) ACC Tournament Seed 9

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – 10

Miami is a lock for the Big Dance. They are working on seeding.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 9

The Canes look every bit the 8/9 team with 1 ACCT win.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 7

Winning 2 ACCT games gets Miami out of the 8/9 game.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 6

Miami moving up the seed lines with a run to the ACCT finals.

Win 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 5

An ACCT tournament titles gets the Canes all the way to a 5 seed.

(32) Wake Forest (18-12) (9-9) ACC Tournament Seed 10

Win 0 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – OUT

Don’t do it Wake Forest… Don’t lose that opening ACCT game to Boston College. You will undo all your great work from last week, and end up in the NIT.

Win 1 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 11

Wake Forest would be a very dangerous 11 seed.

Wins 2 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 9

Now Wake Forest has moved to the 8/9 game.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 7

The Deaces will break through the 8/9 game with 3 ACCT Wins.

Win 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 6

4 ACCT wins and Wake Forest reaches the 6 seed.

Win 5 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 5

Could Wake Forest really win the ACCT by winning 5 games? UCONN did it in the Big East Tournament a few years ago.

(94) Georgia Tech (17-14) (8-10) ACC Tournament Seed 11

Win 0-2 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – OUT

Georgia Tech can make the Big Dance with without winning the ACCT, but they’ll need a very deep run. Georgia Tech needs 1 win to lock up the NIT.

Win 3 ACC Tournament Game : Projected NCAA Seed – 11

Now Georgia Tech has reached the bubble.

Wins 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 10

4 ACCT wins and the Jackets are a lock.

Win 5 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 8

It’s the 8/9 game if Georgia Tech makes Cinderella run and wins the ACC Tournament.

(67) Clemson (16-14) (6-12) ACC Tournament Seed 12

Win 0-3 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – OUT

Clemson has to reach the finals of the ACCT to make the NCAA field.

Wins 4 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 11

If Clemson is playing Saturday then they will be dancing.

Win 5 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 10

An ACC Title and the NCAAs for the Clemson!

(124) NC State (15-16) (4-14) ACC Tournament Seed 13

Win 0-4 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – OUT

No NCAAs for NC State without an ACC Title.

Win 5 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 11

This couldn’t happen for NC State could it?

(70) Pittsburgh (15-16) (4-14)

Win 0-4 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – OUT

No NCAAs for Pittsburgh without an ACC Title.

Win 5 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 11

Pitt has wins over Virginia and Maryland, but Kevin Stallings is still their head coach.

(211) Boston College (9-22) (2-16)

Win 0-4 ACC Tournament Games: Projected NCAA Seed – OUT

No NCAAs for Boston College without ACC Title.

Win 5 ACC Tournament Games : Projected NCAA Seed – 14

Boston College has become a very bad team. This just isn’t happening.

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