This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com.
Locks
(12) Duke (12-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 1
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (4) Florida, * (45) Rhode Island, (82) Penn State, (56) Tennessee State
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Duke was a bit sloppy against Tennessee State, but won by 10. This week is Elon.
(10) Louisville (10-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 2
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (37) Purdue, (76) Witchita State, (63) Texas Southern, (97) Old Dominion
Bad Losses – None
Notes – If Louisville beats Kentucky on Wednesday they could push for a #1 seed. That should be a great game.
(15) North Carolina (10-2) (0-0) Projected Seed 3
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – * (44) Oklahoma State, * (46) Davidson, * (49) Wisconsin, (93) Chattanooga
Bad Losses – None
Notes – North Carolina played a classic against Kentucky, but came up just short. This is a very good team, that faces an always dangerous Northern Iowa team this week.
(21) Virginia (9-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 3
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (29) Providence, (84) Yale, (85) Ohio State
Bad Losses – None
Notes – California should provide a solid test on the road this week for Virginia.
(17) Florida State (12-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 4
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (4) Florida, * (13) Minnesota, (69) Winthrop, * (42) Illinois, (70) Nicholls State, (92) Iona, (81) Samford
Bad Losses – None
Notes – The Noles are off this week.
(52) Notre Dame (10-2) (0-0) Projected Seed 6
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – * (38) Northwestern, (75) Colorado, (83) IPFW
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Notre Dame blew a big chance letting the Purdue game slip away. There are no games for the Irish this week.
(53) Virginia Tech (10-1) (0-0) Projected Seed 6
Last 10 – (10-1)
Good Wins – * (41) Ole Miss, (86) Michigan, (86) Nebraska
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Virginia Tech is off this week, after a 2-0 week against the Citadel and Charleston Southern.
Bubble But In
(24) Pittsburgh (9-2) (0-0) Projected Seed 8
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – * (22) Maryland, (82) Penn State, (85) Yale, (97) Marquette
Bad Losses – * (203) Duquesne
Notes – Nebraska-Omaha is Pitt’s only game this week.
(82) Miami (8-2) (0-0) Projected Seed 9
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – * (50) Stanford, (95) Rutgers
Bad Losses – (113) Iowa State
Notes – I sure would have liked to see Miami with some stronger non-conference wins. George Washington is the Canes only game this weekend.
Bubble But Out
(19) Wake Forest (8-3) (0-0)
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – (57) College of Charleston
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Wake Forest was so close to beating Xavier and getting a huge non-conference win losing 69-65. LSU is this week. I’d consider that a must win for Wake Forest.
(36) NC State (9-2) (0-0)
Last 10 – (9-2)
Good Wins – (56) Tennessee State, (54) St. Joseph
Bad Losses – None
Notes – McNeese State shouldn’t be a problem this week for NC State.
(72) Clemson (8-2) (0-0)
Last 10 – (6-2)
Good Wins – * (46) Davidson, (86) Nebraska, (60) Georgia
Bad Losses – (185) Oklahoma
Notes – Clemson has big game against a good South Carolina team this week. If the Tigers win, I’m putting them in the field.
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(159) Syracuse (7-4) (0-0)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – * (43) Monmouth
Bad Losses – * (153) UCONN
Notes – Syracuse losing at home to Georgetown was a bad loss this past week. St. Johns and Cornell are this week.
(124) Georgia Tech (6-4) (0-0)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – * (26) VCU, (80) Sam Houston State
Bad Losses – * (155) Tennessee
Notes – Georgia Tech looked terrible against Georgia Tuesday night. Wofford is this week.
(265) Boston College (6-5) (0-0)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (65) Auburn
Bad Losses – * (177) Richmond, * (187) Hartford, * (306) Harford
Notes – Fairfield and Providence are this week for BC. I’d don’t think BC will hit double digit wins this year.
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