The ACC still has a shot at as many as 6 NCAA teams, but that will depend on how Miami and NC State finish the season. Right now only one of them is in.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com.
Locks
(4) Duke (25-4) (12-2) Projected Seed 1
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – (58) Belmont, * (2) Michigan St., (66) Davidson, * (16) Michigan, * (6) Kansas, * (29) Colorado St., (49) Washington, * (39) Virginia, *(6) UNC, (94) Maryland, (67) NC State, (90) Tennessee, (93) Penn, (100) Virginia Tech, (100) Virginia Tech, (22) Florida State
Bad Losses -None
Notes – 15 top 100 wins, 3 top 6 RPI wins and you’re telling me Duke is not a number 1 seed ESPN’s Joe Lunardi? You can’t be serious.
(5) North Carolina (25-4) (12-2) Projected Seed 2
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (2) Michigan St., * (26) Wisconsin, * (34) Long Beach St., (54) Texas, (55) Miami, (67) NC State, * (39) Virginia, (55) Miami, (67) NC State, (100) Virginia Tech, * (39) Virginia
Bad Losses – None
Notes – By this time next week we’ll know if UNC is a legit contender for a number 1 seed. If they beat Duke Saturday and they will be right in the mix going into the ACCT.
(22) Florida State (19-9) (10-4) Projected Seed 6
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – (63) UCF, (81) UMASS, (90) Loyola Marymount, * (5) North Carolina, (94) Maryland, * (4) Duke, * (39) Virginia , (55) Miami, (67) NC State, (100) Virginia Tech, (100) Virginia Tech
Bas Losses – (144) Clemson, * (235) Boston College
Notes – Florida State did not have a good week losing at home to Duke then getting routed at Miami by 16. The Noles need to get things righted before they end up a double digit seed.
(39) Virginia (21-7) (8-6) Projected Seed 8
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (65) Drexel, * (16) Michigan, (52) Oregon, (68) LSU, (55) Miami, (67) NC State, (84) George Mason, (100) Virginia Tech
Bad Losses – (144) Clemson
Notes – Virginia has been safely in for awhile, but they haven’t done much in recent weeks to improve their seeding.
Bubble But In
(55) Miami (17-10) (8-6) Projected Seed 11
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (81) UMASS, (100) Virginia Tech, * (4) Duke, * (22) Florida State
Bad Losses – (102) Maryland
Notes – Put them in the Big Dance after the Canes beat Florida State Sunday without Reggie Johnson. Their work is not done yet though. The Canes want to be at least 9-7 heading into the ACC tournament. This week is a game at NC State then at home against Boston College.
Bubble But Out
(67) NC State (18-11) (7-7)
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – (51) Texas, (97) Princeton, (55) Miami
Bad Losses – * (176) Georgia Tech, (144) Clemson, (106) Stanford
Notes – Due to such a weak bubble nationally, if NC State can beat Miami and win at Virginia Tech this week, they may be able to get back on the good side of the bubble. Right now they are out…
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(100) Virginia Tech (15-14) (4-10)
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – * (39) Virginia
Bad Losses – (102) Maryland * (161) Wake Forest, * (235) Boston College
Notes – 2 more losses this past week by a total of 7 points. What else is new for Virginia Tech? They had Duke on the ropes and let them go.
(102) Maryland (16-12) (6-8)
Last 10 – (4-6)
Good Wins – (83) Colorado, (41) Notre Dame, (55) Miami, (100) Virginia Tech
Bad Losses – * (176) Georgia Tech
Notes – Forget the NCAAs, Maryland is playing themselves out of the NIT after losing to Georgia Tech Saturday.
(161) Wake Forest (13-15) (4-10)
Last 10 – (3-7)
Good Wins – (99) Loyola, MD, (95) Yale
Bad Losses – (126) Richmond, * (171) Wofford, * (250) Arizona St. , (144) Clemson, (144) Clemson, (102) Maryland
Notes – Looks who’s won 2 of their last 3, Break out the Deacs!
(144) Clemson (15-13) (7-7)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – * (22) Florida State, (39) Virginia, (67) NC State
Bad Losses – (110) Charleston, * (177) Coastal Carolina, * (185) South Carolina, (136) UTEP, * (194) Hawaii, * (235) Boston College, (102) Maryland
Notes – Clemson is playing well recently. If they even would have went 4-3 in their 7 bad losses, they would be on the NCAA bubble.
(176) Georgia Tech (10-18) (3-11)
Last 10 – (2-8)
Good Wins – (70) VCU, (56) NC State
Bad Losses – * (205) Tulane, * (220) Fordham, (144) Clemson, (123) Mercer, * (161) Wake Forest, (102) Maryland, (144) Clemson
Notes – Brian Gregory still has his guys playing hard as the Jackets pulled off a 63-61 upset win over Maryland this past week.
(235) Boston College (8-20) (3-11)
Last 10 – (1-9)
Good Wins – *(19) Florida State
Bad Losses – * (158) Providence, * (161) Wake Forest, *(163) Holy Cross, (133) Penn St, *(186) Boston U, *(251) Rhode Island, * (176) Georgia Tech, (102) Maryland, * (161) Wake Forest
Notes – Rematch of the ACC Pillow fight with Georgia Tech is Wednesday night!
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