Quantcast

«

»

Feb
06
2018

ACC Bubble Analysis for February 6, 2018

This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams and where I think they’d should be placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.

In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.

Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater than 150 losses.

My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com.

Locks

(1) Virginia (22-1) (11-0) Projected Seed 1

Last 10 – (10-0)

Good Wins – * (6) Rhode Island, (79) Boston College, * (11) UNC, * (43) Syracuse, (67) Virginia Tech, (63) NC State, * (7) Duke,  * (4) Clemson, (42) Louisville, * (43) Syracuse

Bad Losses – None

Notes – There’s just a couple of more regular season games left on Virginia’s schedule that I think they can be threatened in… at Florida State and at Miami will be two of their toughest remaining games.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/7 –  @FSU

2/10 – Virginia Tech

2/13 – @Miami

(7) Duke (19-4) (7-3) Projected Seed 2

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins – * (21) Michigan State, * (36) Texas, (78) Utah Valley, * (49) Florida, * (40) Florida State, * (18) Miami, (81) Notre Dame, (99) South Dakota

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Where did that loss from St. Johns come from??? Maybe that’s who Duke is – Talented but extremely flawed.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – @UNC

2/11- @Georgia Tech

(4) Clemson (19-4) (8-3) Projected Seed 2

Last 10 – (7-3)

Good Wins –  * (20) Ohio State, * (49) Florida, (62) South Carolina, (53) Louisiana, * (42) Louisville (79) Boston College, (63) NC State, (96) Hofstra, * (18) Miami, (81) Notre Dame, *(11) UNC

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Clemson is a #2 seed this week… and there’s not anyone who’d argue it. They’ll still be a 2 seed after hosting Pittsburgh too.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – Pittsburgh

(18) Miami (17-5) (6-4) Projected Seed 6

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins –  * (22) Middle Tennessee, * (40) Florida State, * (42) Louisville, (63) NC State, (67) Virginia Tech

Bad Losses – (139) Georgia Tech

Notes – That was a huge win for Miami at Virginia Tech. They can maintain their seeding by winning 2 out 3 this week.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/7 – Wake Forest

2/10 – @Boston College

2/13 – Virginia

(11) North Carolina (17-7) (6-5) Projected Seed 6

Last 10 – (5-5)

Good Wins – * (41) Arkansas, * (31) Michigan,* (13) Tennessee, * (20) Ohio State, (79) Boston College, * (4) Clemson, (81) Notre Dame, (80) Stanford

Bad Losses – (133) Wofford

Notes – Beating Pittsburgh doesn’t help much, but if UNC could knock off Duke this week that would. The game at NC State is really dangerous.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – Duke

2/10 – @NC State

2/12 – Notre Dame

(40) Florida State (17-6) (6-5) Projected Seed 7

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins – * (49) Florida * (11) UNC, * (43) Syracuse, * (18) Miami, (67) Virginia Tech, * (42) Louisville

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Florida State got a huge win at Louisville, and now they get a shot at the ACC’s top dog Virginia.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – Virginia

2/10 – @Notre Dame

(42) Louisville (16-8) (6-5) Projected Seed 8

Last 10 – (5-5)

Good Wins –  * (40) Florida State, (81) Notre Dame, (67) Virginia Tech, (79) Boston College, (91) Southern Illinois

Bad Losses – None

Notes – Louisville is in big trouble after losing 4 of their last 5 games. Georgia Tech at home and a game at Pittsburgh should provide a breather.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – Georgia Tech

2/11 – @Pittsburgh

(63) NC State (16-7) (6-4) Projected Seed 9

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins –  * (16) Arizona, * (7) Duke, * (4) Clemson, * (11) UNC, (81) Notre Dame

Bad Losses – * (162) Northern Iowa, (106) UNC-Greensboro

Notes – If the Wolfpack can sweep this week, they’ll be in great NCAA tournament shape.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/7 – @Virginia Tech

2/10 – UNC

Bubble But In

(43) Syracuse (16-8) (5-6) Projected Seed 11 

Last 10 – (4-6)

Good Wins –  * (32) Buffalo, (55) Maryland, (67) Virginia Tech (73) Toledo, (95) Connecticut, (79) Boston College, * (42) Louisville

Bad Losses – (118) Wake Forest, (139) Georgia Tech

Notes – Syracuse came up with a huge desperation win at Louisville to get back on the bubble. Wake Forest at home is a must win.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/11 – Wake Forest

Bubble But Out 

(67) Virginia Tech (16-7) (5-5) 

Last 10 – (6-4)

Good Wins –  * (37) Washington, * (11) UNC, (81) Notre Dame, (82) Ole Miss, (79) Boston College

Bad Losses – * (145) St. Louis

Notes – Winning at Virginia seems unlikely, so Virginia Tech better beat NC State at home.

2/7 – NC State

2/10 – @Virginia

Only if they win the ACC Tournament

(79) Boston College (14-10) (4-7) 

Last 10 – (4-6)

Good Wins – * (7) Duke, * (40) Florida State

Bad Losses – None

Notes – BC is running out of time. They desperately need to win both of their games this week.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/10 – Miami

2/13 – @Pittsburgh

(81) Notre Dame (14-10)(4-7) 

Last 10 – (4-6)

Good Wins – * (28) Wichita State, * (43) Syracuse, (75) LSU, (63) NC State, (79) Boston College

Bad Losses – (108) Indiana, (139) Georgia Tech, (125) Ball State

Notes – Beating Boston College was a start, but Notre Dame really needs a sweep this week to get back on the NCAA bubble.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/10 – FSU

2/12 – @UNC

(118) Wake Forest (9-14) (2-9) 

Last 10 – (2-8)

Good Wins –  * (43) Syracuse, * (40) FSU

Bad Losses – * (250) Liberty, (148) Drake, (144) Georgia Southern

Notes – Wake Forest still has upset on their home floor. They don’t have any home games this week.

2/7 – @Miami

2/11 – @Sryacuse

(139) Georgia Tech (11-12) (4-6)

Last 10 – (5-5)

Good Wins –  * (18) Miami, (81) Notre Dame, * (43) Syracuse, (98) Northwestern

Bad Losses – * (261) Grambling, (133) Wofford

Notes – Georgia Tech has a rough looking week ahead.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – @Louisville

2/11 – Duke

(178) Pittsburgh (8-16) (0-11)

Last 10 – (0-10)

Good Wins –  (87) Santa Barbara

Bad Losses – * (220) Navy, (103) Penn State, (139) Georgia Tech

Notes – Pittsburgh has 7 more games to avoid a winless ACC season.

This Week’s Upcoming Games.

2/8 – @Clemson

2/11 – Louisville

2/13 – Boston College

Make sure you follow the All Sports Discussion Twitter account at @AllSportsDACC and please like our Facebook Page


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>