National Signing Day is this Wednesday. You bring in a new recruiting class, everything and anything is possible because you don’t know who might be an All-American and who might be bust. We all know recruiting is an inexact science. Kids looking great in HS doesn’t always translate to collegiate success. Coaches coach players up or maybe down. Each school is not the same either, academics, majors, location, tradition on and on.
At the end of the day all that matters is wins. In my informal little analysis I want to see which ACC school got the most out their recruiting classes the last 3 years. The 2009-2011 seasons will include players if they were redshirt seniors all they back to 2005. I’m going to use the scout.com as my resoure for rankings of the recruiting class. I’m not going to use class rank though. I’m going to use the average stars. Too much emphasis goes into class size when giving the recruiting rankings. The star rankings are a better reflection of the initial quality of a class.
Here’s how we rank the recruiting classes.
Now let’s take a look at the average number wins for each ACC team over the last 3 years.
Wouldn’t it make sense that the team with the best recruiting classes should win the most games? Certainly, but we know it’s not as simple as that. Injuries, schedule and coaching are among several factors, but I think we do get an idea of which team has been the most efficient with their recruiting. That would be Virginia Tech, and by quite a large margin. I still wonder what Frank Beamer and company could do if they recruited at an elite level.
|Avg Stars||Avg Wins||Recruiting Efficency|
What conclusion can we draw? The 6 best recruiting teams, well they are also your 6 winningest teams. That’s a fact… NC State is the only bottom 6 recruiting team to make the top 6 in average wins, as they tied Miami for 6th place in that category. Virginia Tech as we said maximizes their recruiting better than anyone in the ACC, but as you can also see if you recruit poorly you also aren’t going to win a lot of games. So don’t let the bad recruiting apologists fool you, if you aren’t putting together some of the better classes in the ACC, don’t expect to be contending for any ACC titles.