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Nov
11
2011

Clemson and Virginia Tech give the ACC a chance at having 2 BCS teams. Here’s how (Updated)…

It’s nearly the middle of November and the ACC will send their champion to the Orange Bowl, and that will be it as far as the conference goes with BCS teams. Wait a minute 2011 might just be different.

For the first time the ACC has 2 teams the Clemson Tigers and Virginia Tech Hokies in the top 10 of the BCS standings at this point in the season. Clemson is #9 and Virginia Tech is #10. Could the conference get 2 teams into the BCS? It’s a longshot, but there is a chance. At least one major new source’s bowl projections has both the Tigers and Hokies in the BCS. That would be from CNNSI.com.

Can this really happen?  There are technically 4 At-Large BCS bids up for grabs, but the SEC is virtually assured of one those by either LSU or Alabama.

The ACC needs to get one of the three At Large bids remaining. The At Large pool consists of the Big 12’s  Oklahoma and  Oklahoma St. the Pac 12’s  Stanford and Oregon and then the Mountain West’s Boise St.  The Big 12 and Pac 12 champions are also automatic qualifiers.

Let me tell you how 2 ACC teams in the BCS can realistically happen…

* Clemson and Virginia Tech must win out until the ACCCG. That would put two 11-1 teams in conference championship game, and ranked in the top 10. If either loses before the title game the chances of 2 BCS teams from the ACC decrease significantly.

Then one of these results must occur.

* Oregon must lose Stanford. If the Ducks beat the Cardinals, a 1 loss Stanford team with nation’s best QB in Andrew Luck still looks mighty appealing. A 2 loss Oregon team might still be a BCS At-Large selection, but I think a 2 loss Clemson or Virginia Tech team with a loss in the Title game compares favorably.

* Oklahoma must lose to Oklahoma St. It’s pretty much the same scenario as Oregon. A 2 loss Sooner team given their history and tradition might still be difficult for a 2 loss ACC to overcome. You have to wonder though how Oklahoma’s loss to a Texas Tech team that will likely finish under .500 in the Big 12 will be perceived. If Oklahoma beats Oklahoma St., I’d be surprised if a one loss Cowboy team drops from the At-Large group.

* Boise St. losing to TCU would free up a BCS spot. This is a big one and would virtually ensure the second ACC team. If Boise St. loses they will not get selected as an At-Large bid, no chance.  Honestly I don’t see Boise St. getting beat by TCU especially in Boise, so I think the likelihood of this scenario is not very good.

Clemson finishes with Wake Forest, @NC State, and @South Carolina. The South Carolina game in particular could be tricky, but the Gamecocks are having their own issues.

Virginia Tech has a home game with North Carolina, then on the road to face an improved Virginia squad. The Hokies will be favored in both, but will need to play a complete game to beat Virginia.

I do believe the Tigers and Hokies will win out, and be ranked no lower than 6th and 7th in the BCS when the ACCCG rolls around. They should move ahead of the Oklahoma Oklahoma St loser and Oregon Stanford loser. Also Arkansas should lose at LSU. The Razorbacks are currently ranked #8 in the BCS.

I would say the chances are not that great, but it’s the best shot the ACC has ever had at getting 2 teams into the BCS. I’ve suddenly become a big TCU fan…

(Update)

…and boom the biggest domino just fell today. TCU defeated Boise St in a classic game and an At-Large Big just Opened up. Somehow Houston to the BCS showed up on twitter. Um that’s not going to happen or is it? The BCS fought tooth and nail to keep Utah and Boise St. out for several years, but a top 12 BCS Houston team whose best win is over 5-4 UCLA would automatically qualify for a BCS game. They are 11th right now. Now that’s a rule change I’m sure the BCS is now regretting.

The ACC with 2 Teams in the BCS train is gathering steam, but there’s a long way to go.


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